TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$460,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,401 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c334,861$172,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162,054.6687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c151,447$73,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,827.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over48c95,833$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,000.0666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c25,000$12,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,891.811,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c23,910$11,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,715.91,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c15,463$8,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,447.0360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c15,135$7,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,352.91,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20029748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c12,204$5,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,895.622,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under49c10,204$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,204.0816640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80024045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5945…67cabacked Over48c8,601$4,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,128.472133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over48c8,000$3,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,84043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c6,829$3,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,288.632,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c4,767$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.334,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c4,685$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,295.154,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8698…e4a2backed Over51c3,920$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x293c…0f0fbacked Under49c3,920$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c3,713$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.622,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c3,402$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.671,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over48c3,300$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5848747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under48c3,104$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.8637747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c3,000$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c2,947$1,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.222,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under48c2,944$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.754535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c2,858$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.971,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c2,545$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.9118749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c2,143$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,072.341,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under50c2,071$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.525049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c2,031$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.7987049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00011156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Over52c2,000$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.986848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over49c1,620$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.8917850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under52c1,546$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.212945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked Under49c1,533$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.833831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c1,421$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.051,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under48c1,390$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.4314046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked Over49c1,384$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67810556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,307$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Over47c1,306$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.8527241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over48c1,289$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8218547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Over54c1,120$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over40c1,087$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.062,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c1,084$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.138,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over48c1,009$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.4868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Over49c853.06$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4187236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over52c815.53$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42341742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39284342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Over49c783.83$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.083745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c781.26$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under52c773$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33649345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over51c660$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.621653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over51c588.83$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under52c580.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.8356447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Over53c562.2$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a48…e094backed Over49c510.31$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+146.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c487.71$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.862,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under51c478.46$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under49c476.19$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.134,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over56c434.21$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.161,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over48c402.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.261,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Over51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2049159.3%54 W · 37 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19624151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under48c397.84$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.772744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Under52c394.34$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.347346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under52c386.54$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.8315353.6%82 W · 71 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under77c376.88$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c373.14$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c350.86$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.643,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…e3b4backed Under54c343$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.313565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14425155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15316651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Under46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16219435.1%68 W · 126 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Over51c294.51$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c291$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.681,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f32…ab75backed Under50c290$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1458156.8%46 W · 35 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under51c280$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.215240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over51c260.49$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.361,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Under51c258$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.426852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c247$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.441,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under48c210.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2944551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under53c201.31$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.6542352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1046043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9825846.9%121 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over49c195.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9621550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3125049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.742853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under52c182.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.4251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c179$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.081,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under53c174.63$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0141449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under53c174.57$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4118648.9%91 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under52c155.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7322048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c154.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under52c154.55$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4391746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over49c154$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3823651.3%121 W · 115 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over52c153.85$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under53c151.61$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.530453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.