TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,709,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,709,661 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 754 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0720…1cdbbacked No50c2,613,967$1,305,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,308,392.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes50c1,420,374$711,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711,506.29159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes50c353,685$176,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176,842.325642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes52c152,267$79,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,849.8721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No44c118,471$52,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,044.91070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed Yes50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,000.061560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0792…b778backed No46c100,000$46,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,999.822740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes50c83,659$41,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,829.313423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes53c73,259$38,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,772.6487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c71,023$36,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,663.71,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes50c60,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,0003256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes48c47,564$22,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,798.9171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes58c40,089$23,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,284.864841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes50c38,361$19,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,315.6913348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes51c34,017$17,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,192.7715455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c26,227$15,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,309.1424044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes55c22,394$12,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,373.9821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Yes50c20,741$10,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,370.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes55c19,120$10,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,516.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes38c16,600$6,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,287.562321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes27c15,166$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,083.9162648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No42c14,736$6,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,546.74030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes52c14,623$7,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,603.962737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes54c14,000$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,559.985538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes41c12,878$5,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,326.8515048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Yes51c12,000$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,139.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Yes50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No48c9,762$4,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,090.261478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked Yes31c9,670$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes51c9,232$4,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,676.436368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No46c9,208$4,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.725040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Yes50c8,730$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,36510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000.025156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes9c7,553$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.82317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes51c7,535$3,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8432661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes50c7,436$3,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,718.146248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Yes49c6,758$3,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,283.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes51c6,497$3,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,335.783650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes58c6,000$3,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,48012957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes59c5,125$3,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,023.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Yes53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.99540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,949.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79f6…8f75backed Yes50c4,800$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes52c4,755$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4502352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No42c4,707$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.242642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes59c4,589$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.2331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Yes55c4,500$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No47c4,043$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.991717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xddb4…1023backed Yes59c3,800$2,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24230%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes45c3,711$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.847529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c3,686$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.65368.3%3 W · 33 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-36.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3191…0665backed Yes49c3,630$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes51c3,600$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-71%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No42c3,446$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,985.3438056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes59c3,390$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes49c3,000$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.963655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed5d…2668backed Yes27c2,954$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.22630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes51c2,800$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4201050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c2,771$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.0248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes55c2,729$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.2219055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes57c2,640$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.44266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No47c2,549$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.211838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed Yes3c2,371$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes20c2,283$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes54c2,254$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,217.121361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes50c2,192$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.955947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes54c2,131$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1453627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes54c2,112$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.5929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No48c2,102$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes56c2,073$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.551631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Yes49c2,050$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.560%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c2,000$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9435650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes55c1,816$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes47c1,812$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.972944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes50c1,808$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9041520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a48…498cbacked Yes60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Yes51c1,647$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No43c1,639$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+81%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes54c1,616$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-77.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No45c1,597$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.8920150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x170f…095bbacked Yes13c1,595$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes52c1,498$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.929256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x243b…8a20backed Yes49c1,484$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Yes50c1,448$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.543748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Yes37c1,414$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.527766.2%51 W · 26 L+10.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes49c1,396$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.15450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes3c1,382$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.944348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+39.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes52c1,300$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.8811735.9%42 W · 75 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x869c…63d5backed Yes60c1,285$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes54c1,283$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.3810545.7%48 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes49c1,234$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6109447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes60c1,153$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes27c1,140$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.668066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes58c1,121$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6506349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4052…0014backed Yes52c1,084$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes8c1,074$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0945233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes54c1,029$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.662548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.