TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,774

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,774 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes27c39,246$10,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,724.991,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No72c32,170$23,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,162.054447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c30,206$22,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,562.0421143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No75c26,667$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,000944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c23,555$5,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,714.1652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No75c16,400$12,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes32c15,410$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,410.132321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes26c14,734$3,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,878.4471140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes27c14,623$4,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,603.242737%10 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes25c13,286$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,977.887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c8,976$5,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,978.3648649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes28c7,934$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,709.937638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes27c7,034$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,140.4815455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb4…1023backed No77c7,000$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,39030%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No74c6,679$4,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,942.392842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Yes31c6,100$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes28c5,528$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,969.793650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed No75c5,340$4,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0053767.6%25 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f6…8f75backed Yes28c4,800$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+78.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No75c4,413$3,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.5138056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes32c4,000$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,735.965538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked No76c3,816$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.161163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes25c3,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25012957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes25c2,272$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.4515048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes75c2,083$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.715071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes27c2,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.99650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes25c1,652$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.7320150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes30c1,652$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.97955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked No73c1,500$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No75c1,463$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.5721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No23c1,371$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3326346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes24c1,300$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes28c1,115$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.8118847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes25c1,027$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.143336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c999.96$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.0126660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No76c957.26$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.2935650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No73c904.04$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.5129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b20…de61backed No75c752.7$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.531010%1 W · 9 L-4.4wins-0.44per pick54cpaid-79.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No32c747.78$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6918155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes29c716$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.366132.8%20 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x243b…8a20backed No65c657.03$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes25c600$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4503961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes46c589.7$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.773100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+505.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes36c500.38$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes27c439.15$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.155135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No23c380.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.953743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c1…5249backed Yes25c342.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e28…cf34backed Yes24c340$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.41330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+94.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked No72c300$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2164050%20 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes30c297.91$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4626046.2%120 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes26c292.45$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.817251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No66c288.39$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1413246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc73…a9d2backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7533…285ebacked No75c285.55$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes27c285.19$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.192437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked No75c278.67$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick77cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes27c277.78$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No56c268.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes26c265.19$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.444141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes25c252$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1899846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes25c248.63$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.669256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c226.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6245233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No39c217.16$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7115649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+57.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…73e7backed Yes31c193.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.55520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes30c193.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.334546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes27c192.71$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.266368.3%43 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…0587backed Yes33c182.9$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+201.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9007…2421backed Yes37c182.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.892326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes27c182$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.44257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd40b…429abacked Yes35c157.14$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.14757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes71c149.7$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No32c144.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.834062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes22c137.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.557648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6765…5478backed No76c136.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Yes27c134.38$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.412035%7 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x61b2…d3c9backed Yes24c130.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.26944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbefe…2d45backed No77c130$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes15c126.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8217817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93c0…4bf4backed No76c119.44$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes31c112.9$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.97632.9%25 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No75c107$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.253554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12e2…309ebacked Yes48c104.88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c38…78bfbacked Yes24c104.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2931…edc0backed Yes43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-54%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes23c100$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a5…c86cbacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34b0…7f68backed Yes26c99.79$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb25f…32c9backed Yes75c99.46$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaec…f856backed Yes27c91.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked No77c91.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No63c88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.411747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes17c87.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.562313%3 W · 20 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30de…eeb1backed No76c87.12$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…4320backed Yes24c86.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.075529.1%16 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.