Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65fd5aedae71bf28df5e9c199392e53cd652a97d841610c86a6f00b47e2a4346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,974
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,974 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 22c | 67,995$14,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,958.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 78c | 15,410$12,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.2 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 80c | 14,623$11,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.53 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 31c | 14,400$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.43 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…e27fbacked No | 78c | 13,846$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,046.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 12,443$2,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.65 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 78c | 12,434$9,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 11,112$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.45 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 31c | 7,776$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.59 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 80c | 7,233$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.8 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 17c | 5,388$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 55c | 5,302$2,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.75 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 17c | 4,965$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 21c | 4,607$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.34 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 44c | 4,222$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 4,103$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.76 | 376 | 38.8%146 W · 230 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 16c | 3,500$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 63c | 3,273$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 3,003$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.59 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 37c | 2,950$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.83 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 20c | 2,932$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.19 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed No | 78c | 2,308$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 1,926$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 40c | 1,910$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 16c | 1,532$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 53c | 1,352$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.85 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 17c | 1,300$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked No | 80c | 1,223$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 78c | 1,111$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.67 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 19c | 1,027$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 21c | 990.48$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Yes | 62c | 911.48$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 15c | 888$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.2 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8e…d61fbacked Yes | 8c | 808.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 17c | 799.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed Yes | 69c | 787.12$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.11 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 78c | 700$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 60c | 671.65$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 667.73$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.72 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 16c | 628.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670b…2c75backed No | 17c | 579.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 16c | 540.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…4bc5backed No | 80c | 480.65$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 465.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.22 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 430.15$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.82 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 22c | 421.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed No | 42c | 414.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.06 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…bbbbbacked Yes | 19c | 374.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed No | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…304abacked Yes | 19c | 356.92$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c38…78bfbacked Yes | 25c | 342.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 17c | 340$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 17c | 339.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 21c | 311.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.05 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 23c | 311.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…942abacked Yes | 33c | 301.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked No | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 68c | 292.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 17c | 290$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 18c | 267.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 79c | 261.31$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 34c | 259.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.27 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 27c | 257.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.23 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 38c | 249.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…88a2backed Yes | 23c | 237.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 62c | 228.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979d…87dcbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 38c | 225.72$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 71c | 225$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked No | 74c | 218.2$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 58c | 212.57$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.92 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Yes | 19c | 203.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf86…5394backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 36c | 197.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 25c | 179.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 168.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 79c | 157.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes | 23c | 156.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked Yes | 64c | 153.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…657bbacked Yes | 76c | 139.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 16c | 135.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…5109backed Yes | 16c | 130.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 29c | 127.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b92…efefbacked Yes | 16c | 127.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d31…f760backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 80c | 121.74$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes | 21c | 119.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.