TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,015,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,015,209 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 750 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfd29…77aebacked Yes55c450,575$247,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247,560.923250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07bd…e993backed No45c426,357$190,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235,407.18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…c2a4backed Yes37c372,935$139,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,054.99837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes57c172,839$98,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,450.8514740.8%60 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No43c150,724$64,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,912.932850%14 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c145,677$103,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,169.023,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Yes0c141,038$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick43cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No44c74,552$32,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,049.4438247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes57c62,376$35,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,432.231346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No45c57,136$25,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,424.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No46c54,348$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,347.832853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No45c50,235$22,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,628.342951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No45c48,518$21,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,684.9911246.4%52 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No44c37,500$16,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,8752556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes54c33,175$17,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,914.643745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes57c23,256$13,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,255.3611242.9%48 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No45c20,020$9,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,010.975947.5%28 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes56c20,000$11,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,199.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No45c15,066$6,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,332.1815947.8%76 W · 83 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes55c15,000$8,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,249.992653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No43c13,099$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,466.432560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No45c12,955$5,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,157.561,03950%520 W · 519 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes55c11,000$6,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,048.6333349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed No45c10,999$4,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,049.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No45c10,681$4,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,874.735259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc638…43b4backed No44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8e4…967bbacked Yes29c9,603$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,784.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No44c9,311$4,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,214.363360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No45c9,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,949.981050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No44c8,750$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No43c8,000$3,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,5303151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c7,789$6,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.384850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked No44c7,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9201353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed Yes55c6,491$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5701145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No45c6,455$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,551.3213149.6%65 W · 66 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No44c5,959$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,337.091526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes55c5,819$3,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,197.3491950.9%468 W · 451 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked No45c5,467$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No45c4,720$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5961947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes22c4,543$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No75c4,121$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.3163857.2%365 W · 273 L+35.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,239.996858.8%40 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No44c3,740$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.963154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d9…a32ebacked No45c3,644$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes27c3,641$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No76c3,586$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.8452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes56c3,554$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003836.8%14 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+65%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xce69…c81dbacked Yes56c3,531$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No45c3,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9251952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No44c3,371$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.31650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes9c3,350$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.4128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-77.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No44c3,132$1,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7639852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No45c3,000$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No45c2,885$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.757354.8%40 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes33c2,834$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.312,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No78c2,699$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.75875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3755545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes14c2,491$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3374436.4%16 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No45c2,395$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.255356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No71c2,332$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.217956.4%101 W · 78 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No48c2,202$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.2214552.4%76 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed No46c2,175$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.911181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes23c2,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes56c2,157$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf371…da1abacked Yes56c2,125$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,190.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c2,112$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.1276941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c2,064$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.668545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes2c2,035$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1817249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1201080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+69.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Yes9c2,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No75c1,974$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.4215376.5%117 W · 36 L+37.4wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+61.3%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No45c1,960$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.8133055.2%182 W · 148 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc53e…da94backed Yes55c1,820$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Yes6c1,801$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Yes56c1,787$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes15c1,774$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2753221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked No71c1,690$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.811154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5057…520ebacked Yes1c1,627$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c1,540$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.678344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No76c1,504$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82524655.7%137 W · 109 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed No44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.971973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.9wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+94.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c1,389$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Yes55c1,365$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+64.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3541…78debacked No75c1,332$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes18c1,309$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No46c1,299$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10da…54bdbacked Yes1c1,294$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes3c1,294$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.822,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a11…6ef0backed Yes4c1,206$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes7c1,193$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes33c1,171$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.751040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No44c1,100$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6162142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…51acbacked Yes3c1,090$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked No45c1,089$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.