TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,887 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No61c21,646$13,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,196.682,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes38c11,387$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,087.1284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c7,716$3,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,966.223,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2503231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes41c3,657$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,169.1252243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No46c3,089$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.0744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c3,057$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.9392050.9%468 W · 452 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes27c2,865$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.771020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c2,168$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.641,04650.2%525 W · 521 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No20c2,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008747.1%41 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c1,984$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.4677141.8%322 W · 449 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No12c1,645$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8410061%61 W · 39 L+8.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7fcc…e083backed Yes26c1,523$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.221353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Yes28c1,429$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.571233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Yes25c1,360$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.832733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No70c1,293$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.6411443.9%50 W · 64 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Yes21c1,254$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.093221.9%7 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No74c1,100$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.51353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.43560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick28cpaid+82%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de6…e187backed No5c1,006$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.47258%2 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick17cpaid-86.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No14c1,004$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.623627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes74c946.78$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes25c891.92$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.945545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes31c801.65$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Yes26c799.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.99633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes71c777.99$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8235158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes27c740.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+105.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes68c708.82$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+50.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes28c690$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.991040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes31c690$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.49431.9%30 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No78c603$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.222245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No15c591.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No80c571.91$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.1423461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed No74c545.84$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes13c538.46$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.469222.8%21 W · 71 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37016242.6%69 W · 93 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37018049.4%89 W · 91 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes26c461.54$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.542142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No70c457.91$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3210956%61 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb485…20a5backed Yes78c408.51$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.99100%9 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes72c404.57$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.576363.5%40 W · 23 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.62837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick26cpaid+44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No74c370$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.81450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes26c360.42$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.818947.2%42 W · 47 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6538…0a4dbacked Yes27c332.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+67.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c326.32$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.125157%143 W · 108 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes31c323.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.521717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes32c312.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.661040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes69c294.46$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No69c290.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.722425%6 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008261%50 W · 32 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0592…49aabacked No25c249.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No16c245.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.645123.5%12 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095e…abc5backed Yes15c234.87$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.641643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes30c233$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+104%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2d2…2f04backed Yes27c218$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.14540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Yes33c214.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.022147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Yes28c213.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7317249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Yes33c212.12$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.121926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No74c206$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.448355.4%46 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked No34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9684…a461backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1402075%15 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+67%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd399…185fbacked No75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1481816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No8c199.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No75c198.2$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.653956.4%22 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed No71c197.09$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.541957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes31c195.53$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.385836.2%21 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d52…f748backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.192142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a87…3881backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+62.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes21c170.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.652133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d5a…952fbacked Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d4…7d90backed Yes31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.29728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes31c158.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked No68c157.89$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.241957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c151.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8511833.9%40 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes27c150.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.857135.2%25 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe252…5f5abacked No75c150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2283…35c4backed Yes27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.15560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+59.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes46c147.64$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes33c141.85$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4721835.8%78 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Yes64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c135.78$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2566250.6%335 W · 327 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked No74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick70cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb420…e898backed Yes27c133$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c128.17$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7469548.9%340 W · 355 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8847…fc98backed No74c128$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.722552%13 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes37c120.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.392951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed No42c119.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-65.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes27c118.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5210035%35 W · 65 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes29c116.48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.74045%18 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes13c112.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+92.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71ed…67c2backed Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.11580%4 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick28cpaid+183.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No74c109.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7355545.8%254 W · 301 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf26…ef8dbacked Yes27c108$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.