NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x440c2efcebb391c729f4f9631a9517f06eacab6e17db9047dd2b7f3ec5d8e37a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $670,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,005 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 55c | 492,140$268,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,202.06 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 45c | 168,739$75,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,932.47 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 45c | 150,000$67,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,500 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 123,921$57,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,040.5 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 63,408$29,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,371.57 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 54c | 57,608$31,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,535.78 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Over | 53c | 38,480$20,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,085.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 46c | 36,084$16,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,599.64 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,200 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 12,500$5,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,625 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 48c | 11,757$5,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,633.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 8,419$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.12 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 49c | 7,173$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 48c | 4,667$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.52 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.83 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 46c | 3,238$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 52c | 3,237$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.94 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 46c | 2,781$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.9 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 48c | 2,781$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…c442backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 1,563$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.57 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Under | 47c | 1,216$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,190$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.27 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 46c | 1,174$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 1,017$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 990.99$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.77 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed Under | 46c | 989.13$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 47c | 967.02$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.72 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 48c | 697.01$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 654.8$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.17 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe393…f016backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 52c | 628.85$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.85 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 48c | 619$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.12 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…20e9backed Under | 46c | 604.05$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.59 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 55c | 592.11$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 53c | 532.68$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.59 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Under | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 55c | 523.29$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.04 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Under | 47c | 518.62$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 55c | 507.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.43 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 55c | 465$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Under | 46c | 428.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…81b7backed Under | 47c | 419.7$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 52c | 393.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.03 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 55c | 358.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 46c | 347.83$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…3d66backed Under | 46c | 345.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 321 | 55.5%178 W · 143 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe975…9d22backed Under | 46c | 332.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 331 | 54.1%179 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 55c | 301.2$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.47 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 53c | 277.66$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 276.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Under | 46c | 267$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Under | 46c | 254.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Over | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 249.16$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 47c | 248.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 56c | 240$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Over | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under | 46c | 226$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 55c | 220.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf10…691bbacked Under | 46c | 205.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 9c | 200.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…5667backed Under | 46c | 189.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 182.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 55c | 181.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Under | 46c | 177.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…815bbacked Under | 46c | 169.57$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 47c | 163.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 46c | 162.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 481 | 57.2%275 W · 206 L | +21.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 161.84$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.61 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a4…65c3backed Under | 46c | 153.26$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 49c | 150.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 55c | 148$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 52c | 141.68$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Under | 46c | 139.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…9860backed Under | 46c | 136.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Under | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 122$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under | 46c | 119.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Over | 56c | 117.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9683…108bbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Under | 45c | 105.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 18c | 102.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5this page
- Penguins vs. AvalanchePenguins won
- Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.