NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x267deb1ba8d663a7658654f7bb8e637ec2eda4ffa40a0c690bf0f82648bcbdb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $507,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,108 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 577 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 34c | 89,933$30,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,355.57 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Penguins | 34c | 56,546$18,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,570.12 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche | 66c | 51,314$33,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,854.42 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Avalanche | 66c | 25,635$16,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,919.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Avalanche | 53c | 25,058$13,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,314.62 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 74c | 23,584$17,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,046.23 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Avalanche | 34c | 23,444$7,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,929 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Avalanche | 0c | 19,915$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 66c | 18,496$12,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,207.15 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Avalanche | 66c | 18,150$11,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,978.98 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 34c | 16,825$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,083.33 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Avalanche | 67c | 15,224$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Penguins | 66c | 15,089$9,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,105.31 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Avalanche | 14c | 12,824$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,808.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 62c | 12,344$7,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,596.66 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 66c | 8,944$5,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.54 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Avalanche | 66c | 7,475$4,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,933.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Avalanche | 66c | 7,470$4,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,930.46 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Avalanche | 66c | 7,153$4,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,720.98 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 13c | 6,992$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.16 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Avalanche | 66c | 6,161$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,066.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 34c | 6,075$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.85 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Penguins | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.94 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,882.35 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Avalanche | 5c | 5,555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 66c | 5,418$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Penguins | 34c | 5,100$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365.81 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Penguins | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Penguins | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.94 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…9c40backed Avalanche | 49c | 4,961$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5706backed Avalanche | 66c | 4,903$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Penguins | 47c | 4,714$2,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.24 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 33c | 3,738$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.19 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Avalanche | 66c | 3,333$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.78 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Penguins | 53c | 3,082$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.43 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Avalanche | 66c | 3,047$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Penguins | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Avalanche | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.95 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Penguins | 34c | 2,956$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950.84 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Penguins | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.18 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Penguins | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Avalanche | 21c | 2,761$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 66c | 2,649$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.56 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Avalanche | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Penguins | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche | 66c | 2,500$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cea…2c92backed Penguins | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 34c | 2,351$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.24 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Avalanche | 32c | 2,212$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.71 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Avalanche | 42c | 2,160$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.45 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Penguins | 34c | 2,060$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Penguins | 34c | 2,017$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.7 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Avalanche | 67c | 2,015$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.89 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 66c | 2,002$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.64 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Avalanche | 35c | 2,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.18 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Avalanche | 19c | 1,751$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.51 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,671$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Avalanche | 68c | 1,565$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.94 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Penguins | 32c | 1,562$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.63 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 38c | 1,504$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.06 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 34c | 1,502$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.01 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Penguins | 34c | 1,500$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Penguins | 72c | 1,500$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.39 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,494$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.03 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Penguins | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f8…f96fbacked Avalanche | 29c | 1,400$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Avalanche | 3c | 1,347$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Penguins | 69c | 1,333$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.23 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Penguins | 41c | 1,297$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.4 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Avalanche | 66c | 1,291$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Penguins | 56c | 1,283$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.36 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…13bebacked Penguins | 34c | 1,200$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…640fbacked Avalanche | 6c | 1,200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 60c | 1,162$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Avalanche | 68c | 1,139$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.54 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 74c | 1,107$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.3 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,097$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avalanche | 67c | 1,084$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.87 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Avalanche | 34c | 1,052$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.2 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8865…ad52backed Penguins | 34c | 1,017$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.22 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.8wins | +0.34per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Avalanche | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Penguins | 59c | 1,000$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.77 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Penguins | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Avalanche | 65c | 999.88$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.92 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Penguins | 34c | 989.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.4 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Penguins | 68c | 951.01$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.32 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…316cbacked Penguins | 68c | 932.07$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…4ff0backed Avalanche | 67c | 932$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Penguins | 68c | 900$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…6f45backed Penguins | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Avalanche | 67c | 899.98$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Penguins | 34c | 882$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.12 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 32c | 872$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.89 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5b…4bc6backed Avalanche | 67c | 846$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…7dc3backed Avalanche | 66c | 845.27$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.25 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 22c | 828$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.73 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Avalanche | 55c | 816.51$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Avalanchethis page
- Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Penguins vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.