World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e16a806a7d079ad19a18599e800bae595eb99b640c5922e1398e30244a0ea43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,297,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,157,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,297,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc524…75a2backed Yes | 0c | 562,962$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.96 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…37ddbacked Yes | 0c | 425,070$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6421backed Yes | 0c | 373,237$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…a3cabacked Yes | 0c | 360,209$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…464abacked Yes | 0c | 327,034$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…7795backed Yes | 0c | 320,296$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…48afbacked Yes | 0c | 256,938$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…d6b3backed Yes | 0c | 198,347$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc1…889dbacked Yes | 0c | 198,314$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.31 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…4778backed Yes | 0c | 172,024$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…254bbacked Yes | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…9a46backed Yes | 0c | 140,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…c5fdbacked Yes | 0c | 136,168$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.38 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 0c | 132,105$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.19 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 128,089$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.59 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…65d9backed Yes | 0c | 109,407$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2179…bedbbacked Yes | 0c | 108,568$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4596…bbe8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e2…9e24backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 83,966$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9610…3441backed Yes | 0c | 65,421$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…62b5backed Yes | 0c | 63,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Yes | 0c | 61,189$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…c379backed Yes | 0c | 55,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a4…8d7bbacked Yes | 0c | 52,880$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd9…5becbacked Yes | 0c | 52,500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…543abacked Yes | 0c | 50,690$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…c686backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…4061backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1673…df79backed Yes | 0c | 45,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 38,854$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 55 | 0%0 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…0451backed Yes | 0c | 37,443$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed Yes | 0c | 35,357$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…2425backed Yes | 0c | 34,130$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.58 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e81bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,799$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…fa8ebacked Yes | 0c | 28,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7850…94bbbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…3cb1backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0312…bcf8backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc58…5fd0backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a0…0070backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452a…68f0backed Yes | 0c | 23,764$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…a3b6backed Yes | 0c | 22,886$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…d209backed Yes | 0c | 22,716$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…0b7dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 21,224$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…5835backed Yes | 0c | 20,207$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…e4cfbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1df…0b67backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…55c4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…048ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…5f3abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0692…d675backed Yes | 0c | 19,900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…b57fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,673$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…f3fbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,623$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…005abacked Yes | 0c | 19,556$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0f…94cbbacked Yes | 0c | 19,421$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eed…d9a0backed Yes | 0c | 19,307$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…e13bbacked Yes | 0c | 19,307$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…8f7fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,295$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…feb9backed Yes | 0c | 19,295$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3156…d572backed Yes | 0c | 19,074$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…7f3fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,074$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735b…53e3backed Yes | 0c | 19,074$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…0f62backed Yes | 0c | 19,041$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4f…dd18backed Yes | 0c | 19,041$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc956…2286backed Yes | 0c | 19,041$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb367…980fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1b66backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e6…f8b9backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…06e2backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9391…ad85backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…b790backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65b…71fdbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…a84fbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f2…5b4cbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…5b02backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…7617backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e34…5fc8backed Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe4…219dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e06…9269backed Yes | 0c | 18,954$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ff67backed Yes | 0c | 18,894$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…4332backed Yes | 0c | 18,839$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…4cccbacked Yes | 0c | 18,839$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…60b1backed Yes | 0c | 18,789$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2adf…d007backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…ae30backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…7ebfbacked Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5420…d70ebacked Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfff…2e55backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…fff4backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81bd…d72cbacked Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…f8d4backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…110fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbd…7494backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…e3e3backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a1…1d45backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…fd72backed Yes | 0c | 18,767$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?this page
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.