TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Delray Beach Open: Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian Korda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kordaof Michelsen, Korda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$334,139
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$363,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,139 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dbf…53bebacked Michelsen42c70,000$29,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,4001250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Korda58c61,431$35,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,801.211242.9%48 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a3…bce8backed Michelsen0c44,220$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.223151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Michelsen41c30,474$12,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,494.456552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Korda59c25,378$14,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,405.1413934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Korda58c24,812$14,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,421.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Michelsen42c14,854$6,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,253.738133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac0…9d95backed Korda59c13,000$7,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3301361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Michelsen28c10,671$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.5755646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Michelsen41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.9443051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Michelsen31c9,838$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,038.332,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Korda58c7,629$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,204.2276140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Korda69c5,177$3,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Korda76c4,716$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.7736968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d04…d4d9backed Michelsen13c4,431$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Michelsen42c4,171$1,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,751.991,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Korda76c4,056$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.4154450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Michelsen49c4,021$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.924650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Korda75c4,000$2,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.69567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f8bcbacked Korda55c3,394$1,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.346026.7%16 W · 44 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Korda62c3,248$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.6241645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Korda59c2,684$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.4416648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Michelsen28c2,504$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.5619938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Korda68c2,475$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.613,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Michelsen44c2,180$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.3916636.7%61 W · 105 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afe…aec0backed Korda76c2,166$1,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.941668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Michelsen48c2,164$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.9711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Michelsen42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.996350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Korda52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.084645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Korda72c1,809$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.3197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Michelsen42c1,533$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.71,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Korda74c1,499$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.231,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Korda50c1,490$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.541172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Michelsen42c1,330$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.1212147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Korda74c1,165$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.062,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d8…8835backed Korda59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41014568.3%99 W · 46 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Michelsen42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Korda70c974.66$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.634,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Korda63c947.24$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.0258359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Michelsen39c916.99$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6387251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michelsen39c895.14$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.081,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Korda73c892.86$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.4543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Michelsen26c772.71$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4868026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c35…572abacked Michelsen40c693.8$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.522166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Michelsen40c692.71$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.0343647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Michelsen19c687.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13016339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Michelsen35c631.9$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.274,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Korda75c595$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.47757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2353…67bfbacked Michelsen17c587.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Michelsen41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20518548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Korda61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.878152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Michelsen43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Korda63c417.23$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.1828933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Michelsen41c402.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16324852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Korda75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Korda52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19213560.7%82 W · 53 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Korda63c367$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.711,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Korda58c362.07$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0743448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Michelsen42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509040%36 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Korda57c351.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.618450%42 W · 42 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Michelsen43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Korda74c337.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1750364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Korda49c321.14$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.786,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Michelsen50c314$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15796035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf642…0c19backed Michelsen30c313.5$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Korda70c313$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.064450%22 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Michelsen41c313$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0843242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Korda59c311.4$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.679950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Korda49c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6523847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Michelsen37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe55…48fabacked Michelsen16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.30per pick66cpaid-49.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54d3…0d2abacked Korda68c279.45$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.38825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Korda64c269.43$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.694250%21 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Korda75c264.09$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.311,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Michelsen22c262.75$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5831941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Michelsen23c261.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6123554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Korda61c257.38$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.622,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3b…6ba5backed Korda59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Michelsen44c245.45$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10835268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…3314backed Korda64c241.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.115438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1833…aaeabacked Michelsen42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Michelsen42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Korda59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2953058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Michelsen39c228.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Michelsen17c223.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813923.7%33 W · 106 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Michelsen42c221.43$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9319653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Michelsen34c220.81$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7528247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Korda71c212.06$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.52,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Korda59c208.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.523745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Korda72c208.42$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7761953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Korda58c206.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5940748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Michelsen17c202.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6214541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Korda67c201$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3692548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Korda51c200.29$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1414949.7%74 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e02…1da8backed Michelsen42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+52.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Michelsen51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10220758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Michelsen40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8012755.9%71 W · 56 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Michelsen28c197.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Korda60c193.6$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.441553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Michelsen42c190$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0855241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.