NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43f4ce77758d271d821ad7a0c43c9dbb2d0bd2ab1707e8fb859b0cbe621621bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $516,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,787 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 175,559$63,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,357.51 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bruins | 64c | 79,981$51,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,026.04 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 50,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,499.95 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bruins | 64c | 45,092$28,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,858.69 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 27,383$10,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,366.02 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Bruins | 64c | 23,438$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Bruins | 30c | 18,887$5,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,726.88 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Bruins | 64c | 17,188$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +10.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 63c | 13,806$8,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,741.36 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Bruins | 64c | 13,087$8,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,375.63 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked Bruins | 64c | 12,696$8,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Bruins | 54c | 12,467$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693.39 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 11,000$3,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,469.95 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 10,252$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,894.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 70c | 9,726$6,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,856.55 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bruins | 63c | 8,896$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,604.48 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32dd…c881backed Bruins | 64c | 8,340$5,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,337.6 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 63c | 6,771$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,265.72 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maple Leafs | 60c | 6,242$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.29 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Bruins | 75c | 5,196$3,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.47 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 4,941$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.74 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Bruins | 64c | 4,647$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.35 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…2a01backed Bruins | 64c | 4,472$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,862 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Bruins | 63c | 4,200$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 4,193$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.04 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 4,054$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.15 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bruins | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Bruins | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Bruins | 63c | 3,968$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins | 64c | 3,777$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruins | 30c | 3,668$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.49 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 3,500$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,499$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.72 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bruins | 63c | 3,174$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.62 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Bruins | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Bruins | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Bruins | 44c | 2,866$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Bruins | 63c | 2,702$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 2,650$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.82 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Bruins | 62c | 2,640$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.96 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Bruins | 64c | 2,628$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.11 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Maple Leafs | 74c | 2,510$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.89 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruins | 60c | 2,419$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.58 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Bruins | 64c | 2,357$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.48 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Bruins | 64c | 2,313$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Bruins | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.86 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Bruins | 64c | 2,222$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.08 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Bruins | 64c | 2,188$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bruins | 64c | 2,007$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.48 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Bruins | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Bruins | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Bruins | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.98 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Bruins | 63c | 1,887$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.77 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,712$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.92 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 1,679$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 1,521$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Bruins | 55c | 1,479$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.5 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked Bruins | 64c | 1,420$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Bruins | 74c | 1,336$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.99 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Bruins | 27c | 1,286$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,279$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Maple Leafs | 79c | 1,261$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.38 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,205$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.71 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bruins | 63c | 1,179$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.14 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Bruins | 63c | 1,179$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.78 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,158$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.92 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 1,122$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.04 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fc…7162backed Bruins | 64c | 1,113$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Maple Leafs | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,069$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.14 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bruins | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Bruins | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Bruins | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 209 | 51.7%108 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…4b84backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 971$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.73 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 943.82$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.42 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Bruins | 59c | 882.32$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.55 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bruins | 64c | 877.42$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.55 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Bruins | 50c | 853$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.96 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 804.64$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.37 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Bruins | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Bruins | 64c | 793.75$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Bruins | 64c | 790$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.6 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Bruins | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Bruins | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Bruins | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maple Leafs | 74c | 780.63$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 776$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Bruins | 65c | 767.78$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.06 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…5741backed Maple Leafs | 41c | 751$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.09 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 741.89$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.9 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed Maple Leafs | 26c | 740.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 728.36$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.53 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 724.15$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.73 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 697.3$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.3 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Bruins | 64c | 675.78$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.