NFL · resolved market
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x891d4a752d5e8e7a7d707b6f40141975f1e469616c4ff74f8cf02869a0159cfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,565,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,442,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,565,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc6e7…6146backed No | 69c | 258,308$178,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178,649.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Yes | 28c | 186,784$51,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135,231.42 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed No | 78c | 139,029$108,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,445.23 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed No | 2c | 138,462$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…f1b9backed No | 0c | 107,330$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes | 18c | 98,263$18,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,171.48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…7c66backed No | 0c | 85,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked No | 9c | 67,564$6,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,393.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Yes | 32c | 63,650$20,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,057.65 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 44c | 60,589$26,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,666.87 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Yes | 55c | 55,143$30,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,953.19 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…b828backed No | 69c | 53,396$36,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,978.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860c…a697backed Yes | 49c | 52,145$25,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,715.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked No | 60c | 51,279$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,999.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ea…15cdbacked Yes | 16c | 50,841$8,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,570.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +204.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…fcd0backed No | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…acabbacked No | 0c | 49,902$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 19c | 46,935$9,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,871.87 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5baa…55b4backed No | 27c | 46,179$12,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,482.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…8137backed No | 8c | 45,060$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 32c | 44,698$14,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,562.05 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe099…9fc3backed No | 45c | 44,048$19,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,995.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked No | 53c | 43,718$23,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,093.55 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 49c | 40,239$19,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,698.32 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…beeebacked No | 79c | 39,331$30,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,990.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked No | 0c | 37,530$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 38c | 36,777$14,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,670.65 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c74…1b55backed Yes | 73c | 35,008$25,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,368.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…02d6backed No | 0c | 35,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed No | 0c | 34,932$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…27dcbacked No | 52c | 34,660$18,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,100.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986d…2329backed Yes | 52c | 34,120$17,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,370.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec48…0bd6backed No | 74c | 33,582$24,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,833.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Yes | 69c | 33,509$23,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,299.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…6e92backed Yes | 44c | 32,710$14,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,306.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ec…8240backed No | 62c | 31,866$19,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,774.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…a0a8backed Yes | 12c | 30,435$3,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,746.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +312.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked Yes | 25c | 29,852$7,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,366.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.58per pick | 22cpaid | +2,098.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed No | 52c | 29,359$15,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,313.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb1…03fbbacked Yes | 41c | 27,121$10,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,134.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a8…4366backed No | 0c | 26,957$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…87cbbacked Yes | 45c | 26,460$12,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,422.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 73c | 25,399$18,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,870.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 25c | 25,398$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,163.55 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed No | 1c | 25,197$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 58c | 24,999$14,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,473.08 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 50c | 24,688$12,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,341.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…945bbacked No | 0c | 24,040$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…9e0dbacked No | 0c | 23,800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 62c | 23,301$14,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,788.11 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…bd43backed No | 59c | 23,172$13,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,557 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 66c | 22,812$14,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,942.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 21c | 21,898$4,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,301.68 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…950abacked Yes | 43c | 21,569$9,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,214.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 57c | 21,326$12,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,249.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 76c | 21,222$16,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,112.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 77c | 21,157$16,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…62e0backed No | 0c | 21,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…d4ecbacked No | 62c | 20,298$12,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,584.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed No | 14c | 20,009$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,851.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…f443backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…10dabacked No | 0c | 19,637$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…27e9backed Yes | 54c | 18,736$10,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,626.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 71c | 18,591$13,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,417.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 51c | 18,047$9,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,148.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…ae09backed Yes | 58c | 17,914$10,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,489.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 44c | 17,785$7,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,987.57 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked No | 64c | 17,533$11,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,298.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Yes | 29c | 16,027$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,335.01 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…b34cbacked No | 0c | 15,949$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 21c | 15,890$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,475.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed Yes | 54c | 15,517$8,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,197.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc5…4fe7backed Yes | 43c | 15,499$6,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,765.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db8…7348backed No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…8fc3backed No | 72c | 14,991$10,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,861.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 37c | 14,652$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,267.75 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3906…7556backed Yes | 69c | 14,492$10,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…66d7backed Yes | 47c | 14,215$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,507.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…c3aebacked No | 54c | 13,735$7,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,421.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 49c | 13,593$6,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…5b88backed No | 65c | 13,233$8,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,628.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed No | 77c | 13,013$9,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,965 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34bf…c4c6backed Yes | 33c | 12,892$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,663.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed No | 54c | 12,470$6,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,790.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 26c | 12,307$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,111.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…6731backed No | 59c | 12,260$7,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,199.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…5745backed No | 51c | 12,236$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,203.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…2b67backed No | 47c | 11,739$5,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,514.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 49c | 11,143$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b0…5aaabacked No | 0c | 11,000$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed Yes | 21c | 10,570$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked No | 1c | 10,098$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 39c | 10,085$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,129.84 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 46c | 10,070$4,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.47 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…dc4cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…8c41backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ff…e54abacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…b26dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…503bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…16a3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?this page
- Will Adele perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Antonio Brown perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Billie Eilish perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Chappell Roan perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Charli XCX perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Christina Aguilera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Doechii perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ed Sheeran perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Elvis Crespo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Foo Fighters perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Gracie Abrams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Grupo Frontera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Harry Styles perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Joe Biden perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Metallica perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Morgan Wallen perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will No Doubt perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Oasis perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Olivia Rodrigo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ozuna perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Robbie Williams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Romeo Santos perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Santana perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Teddy Swims perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will The Killers perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.