NFL · resolved market
Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4d169eea50b33fc78ab903e514bc1bd12f319734bd41fdeab990e97eb7bb7fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $667,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $641,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $667,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 0c | 20,212$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 11c | 15,907$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.41 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce6…9469backed Yes | 17c | 12,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 13c | 11,062$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.29 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…6984backed Yes | 8c | 10,862$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de5…3d0fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…827fbacked Yes | 20c | 7,485$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 7,050$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.37 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2125…08e2backed Yes | 15c | 6,611$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…c2f7backed Yes | 5c | 5,567$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…81aebacked Yes | 18c | 4,111$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018f…4848backed Yes | 14c | 3,643$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 16c | 3,643$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.23 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked No | 80c | 3,294$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.79 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d9…39c6backed Yes | 8c | 3,222$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,203$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1e29backed Yes | 8c | 3,088$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 2,926$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f2…6c3cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,912$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6594…ea97backed Yes | 16c | 2,700$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…5deebacked Yes | 7c | 2,303$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b09…b6cabacked Yes | 11c | 2,302$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 2,281$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…16cebacked Yes | 13c | 2,197$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 10c | 2,195$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.9 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044a…a315backed Yes | 5c | 2,018$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7237…6236backed Yes | 7c | 1,988$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…359cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,878$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…4424backed Yes | 8c | 1,864$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…9a2cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,738$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…9fa7backed Yes | 8c | 1,704$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc98…db53backed Yes | 8c | 1,632$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…bf04backed Yes | 8c | 1,632$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…444abacked Yes | 8c | 1,632$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…3fd3backed Yes | 8c | 1,620$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4b…4053backed Yes | 8c | 1,612$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b1…4e38backed Yes | 8c | 1,604$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…9bc5backed Yes | 7c | 1,602$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e8…a4e4backed Yes | 7c | 1,598$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…4d29backed Yes | 8c | 1,596$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…968abacked Yes | 9c | 1,594$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.08 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…eb6cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,581$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b7…08edbacked Yes | 8c | 1,564$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b2…8bb6backed Yes | 8c | 1,536$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ce…d92fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,479$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 9c | 1,460$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7e…6245backed Yes | 8c | 1,450$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…6fe2backed Yes | 8c | 1,439$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 40cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a61…21d6backed Yes | 8c | 1,396$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…d924backed Yes | 8c | 1,352$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de9…12edbacked Yes | 6c | 1,340$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 1,322$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5895…fb17backed Yes | 8c | 1,308$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…9fdfbacked Yes | 8c | 1,280$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e07…e206backed Yes | 8c | 1,264$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c4…312dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,260$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a93…7589backed Yes | 15c | 1,242$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…e46abacked Yes | 6c | 1,239$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…e6acbacked Yes | 7c | 1,232$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca62…742cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,228$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Yes | 9c | 1,218$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.07 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…6ff1backed Yes | 8c | 1,201$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 12c | 1,197$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17d…b190backed Yes | 8c | 1,193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…2810backed Yes | 9c | 1,192$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…6f73backed Yes | 8c | 1,180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…40c2backed Yes | 19c | 1,170$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…2760backed Yes | 8c | 1,155$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…19dcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,139$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…8512backed Yes | 8c | 1,115$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…7103backed Yes | 8c | 1,105$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…1b2ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,101$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…0f7ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,087$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…5a48backed Yes | 8c | 1,079$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b6…f803backed Yes | 8c | 1,072$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d69…50acbacked Yes | 13c | 1,070$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…75a6backed Yes | 8c | 1,066$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…2ce0backed Yes | 8c | 1,048$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…7fdabacked Yes | 8c | 1,043$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,037$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…9b23backed Yes | 7c | 1,018$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.34 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 4c | 1,014$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb687…6101backed Yes | 8c | 986$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c54…0cfdbacked Yes | 8c | 980$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…f21abacked Yes | 7c | 971$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…c9b0backed Yes | 10c | 890.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009a…5f4cbacked Yes | 5c | 858$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…2396backed Yes | 5c | 858$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…5b0abacked Yes | 5c | 858$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1b…3d1abacked Yes | 5c | 858$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f9…7c41backed Yes | 5c | 856$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…af7cbacked Yes | 8c | 844$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b03…44a8backed Yes | 8c | 844$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -71%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…ddf4backed Yes | 8c | 836$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…1afebacked Yes | 3c | 834$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…916fbacked Yes | 3c | 834$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfe…eb78backed Yes | 3c | 834$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 17c | 830.08$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…15a2backed Yes | 4c | 830$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?this page
- Will Adele perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Antonio Brown perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Billie Eilish perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Chappell Roan perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Charli XCX perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Christina Aguilera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Doechii perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ed Sheeran perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Elvis Crespo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Foo Fighters perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Gracie Abrams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Grupo Frontera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Harry Styles perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Joe Biden perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Metallica perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Morgan Wallen perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will No Doubt perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Oasis perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Olivia Rodrigo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ozuna perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Robbie Williams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Romeo Santos perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Santana perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Teddy Swims perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will The Killers perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.