TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,755
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,755 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes11c499.97$54 inLost-$541546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed No18c311.01$56 inWon+$255.03560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+73.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf769…0114backed Yes15c302.41$45 inLost-$45.411612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes18c201.82$37 inLost-$36.756934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4f…a8fcbacked Yes28c200$57 inLost-$5740%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes21c145.64$31 inLost-$31.134017.5%7 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed No73c100$73 inWon+$27785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebd2…0d5dbacked No70c100$70 inWon+$30.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-76%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x140b…d5c3backed No19c97.04$18 inWon+$78.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes24c82.19$20 inLost-$20.015933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No66c79.99$53 inWon+$27.224352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes28c75.96$22 inLost-$21.545679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes22c74$16 inLost-$15.9264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked No70c71.04$50 inWon+$21.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa5…5f74backed No78c63.85$50 inWon+$13.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-54%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2762…d65abacked No79c63.29$50 inWon+$13.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe739…0484backed Yes43c46.52$20 inLost-$202425%6 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes32c34$11 inLost-$10.943638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fad…c930backed No72c27.93$20 inWon+$7.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-72.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8158…0fe3backed Yes73c27.4$20 inLost-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-65.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53f4…0e38backed No62c24.09$15 inWon+$9.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.