TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,979

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,274 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes5c1,634$88 inLost-$88.382722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab78…fac0backed Yes17c1,379$236 inLost-$235.88422.4%1 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-95.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf769…0114backed Yes1c1,100$15 inLost-$14.61612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes2c822.81$18 inLost-$17.6810731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff8b…effcbacked Yes7c405.02$26 inLost-$26.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0db…75debacked Yes8c312.76$25 inLost-$24.7340%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47de…61f9backed Yes14c294$41 inLost-$40.72911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc18a…c555backed Yes4c285$12 inLost-$11.6110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe036…8670backed Yes4c256.58$10 inLost-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x475d…b17abacked Yes9c189.8$17 inLost-$16.8460%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes16c92.08$14 inLost-$14.4636826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No75c14.68$11 inWon+$3.645933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.