NFL · resolved market
Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c46e81eda266043255231cb03cd26486789816d1b6401e5504d7aa2dd54ab71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 7c | 7,363$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.14 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…fac0backed Yes | 12c | 3,026$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.38 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 2,327$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…1842backed Yes | 7c | 1,743$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 6c | 1,145$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 5c | 934.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…f24bbacked Yes | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 9c | 714.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 10c | 593.47$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…7f8dbacked Yes | 20c | 580.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a59…e94cbacked Yes | 8c | 547.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 7c | 533$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd093…962bbacked Yes | 22c | 528.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 7c | 519$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 7c | 499.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe443…91a8backed Yes | 7c | 436.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 7c | 369.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Yes | 9c | 367.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 8c | 326.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 317.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 7c | 305$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…61f9backed Yes | 10c | 304$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a3…88d0backed Yes | 11c | 295.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 12c | 294$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 7c | 293.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 9c | 264.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes | 9c | 250$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 13c | 246$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes | 6c | 224.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e81…e3b0backed Yes | 10c | 202.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 7c | 179.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…75edbacked No | 72c | 164.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…a65dbacked Yes | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1df…7d7ebacked Yes | 8c | 130.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…c399backed Yes | 8c | 129.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…7336backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 13c | 106$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 12c | 105.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 101.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…978ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…a7f1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…ce52backed Yes | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…8b95backed Yes | 23c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520f…e4d2backed Yes | 20c | 75.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 48c | 41.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc840…0650backed Yes | 39c | 38.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…3482backed No | 45c | 36.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…228fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +326.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…64a2backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…4f4bbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?this page
- Will Adele perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Antonio Brown perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Billie Eilish perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Chappell Roan perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Charli XCX perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Christina Aguilera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Doechii perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ed Sheeran perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Elvis Crespo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Foo Fighters perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Gracie Abrams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Grupo Frontera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Harry Styles perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Joe Biden perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Metallica perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Morgan Wallen perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will No Doubt perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Oasis perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Olivia Rodrigo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ozuna perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Robbie Williams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Romeo Santos perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Santana perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Teddy Swims perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will The Killers perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.