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NFL · resolved market

Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe800…50debacked No18c9,997$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked No15c6,947$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.99771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+204.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0807…443abacked No18c6,645$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed No2c6,000$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.752544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0218…52c0backed No15c4,422$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.191618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…c753backed No19c4,170$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-53.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a73…c046backed No10c3,180$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No14c2,727$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.871154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No10c2,722$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.143023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bf…2032backed No13c2,718$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.0450%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed No20c2,527$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.987255.6%40 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae3…1540backed No19c2,450$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd90d…b6a1backed No14c2,237$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-52.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked Yes78c2,158$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.35560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9e…76fabacked No5c1,650$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0e9…e33ebacked No14c1,445$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b4…88d9backed No10c1,443$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce7…b8fcbacked No8c1,308$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a0a…047ebacked No22c1,239$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6556…26d6backed No17c1,202$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No15c1,193$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.6264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d88…005fbacked No8c1,152$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370c…3eb1backed No14c1,098$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.751020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-60.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d22…9d84backed No9c1,062$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e0…1acebacked No14c990$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.61520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51b1…7865backed No15c919.41$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.12520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x647d…d2d0backed No11c908.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No14c895.32$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.835689.9%56 W · 512 L-1.4wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1137…edecbacked No15c853.33$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf386…d19dbacked No20c824.02$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16460%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b91…6630backed No15c745.87$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-58.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed No17c720.59$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked No10c716.31$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.151625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…b777backed No15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cda…38a6backed No18c655$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…717cbacked No18c628.07$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed No16c611.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde63…4685backed No11c598.51$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c3…6ec8backed No17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee15…a267backed No17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…cbc1backed No18c555.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9381…1f6dbacked No10c544.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3247…16abbacked No19c530.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked No28c525.53$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.151735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No16c525.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6536826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bd3…d9c4backed No20c501.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed No17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.951457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7937…015cbacked No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick27cpaid-83.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed No12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+73.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes79c499$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.23638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e9…150dbacked No16c498.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01e1…7b0abacked No14c430.32$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4cf…f9bcbacked No15c430.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff9d…a4a6backed No18c420.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e65…808fbacked No10c419.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5647…7cbebacked No24c418.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.331323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-64.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc067…c575backed No24c416.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick37cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d3b…08c6backed No24c410.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes64c407.43$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.37939.2%31 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4804…3251backed No12c407.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…a18bbacked No24c383.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbc…da63backed No17c381.21$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-55.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe82f…82a8backed No13c375.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed4e…ab6bbacked No11c370.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed No15c360$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-77.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc516…3f8bbacked No14c357.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+131.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450c…cbfebacked No28c357.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-47.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked No28c351.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a5…4eb8backed No20c351.3$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ad6…f99cbacked No16c350.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed No13c350$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.513622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No17c347.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed No21c345.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.794017.5%7 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes80c342.44$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.491957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e0b…7421backed No15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd44…f151backed No17c329.39$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe88e…8a3cbacked No18c314.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No7c314.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.366934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa33a…223fbacked No16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-58.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6943…1baebacked No16c308.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…c1c1backed No19c300$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e91…d4f2backed No15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c4…e35dbacked No20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-51.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b81…f073backed No19c288.61$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…dd3abacked No14c285.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf78f…3386backed No19c284.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f7…22a5backed No8c279.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c42…b4a0backed No17c276.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…5fd0backed No13c276.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x627c…1854backed No16c275$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e57…a145backed No16c274.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab6…51cebacked No18c270.23$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7549…34bebacked No19c267.74$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd784…c301backed No19c265.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d1…58a1backed No20c254.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes78c252.51$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.552722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb266…ccbdbacked No20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc720…8f88backed No6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed No19c249.24$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.365530.9%17 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7195…eb4bbacked No18c243.3$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4570%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.