NFL · resolved market
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b318b4b6ae930deb40bb175f370e61cfc9032bb36956972cf2bd10e6a5a54d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6e…b45bbacked No | 0c | 50,121$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 62c | 24,986$15,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,565.01 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed No | 14c | 18,409$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed No | 72c | 15,098$10,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,929.46 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…c20ebacked No | 0c | 10,330$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f34…d254backed Yes | 32c | 9,491$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,419.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +155.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 38c | 8,511$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.26 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…38f5backed No | 10c | 6,735$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 57c | 5,980$3,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb210…728ebacked No | 1c | 5,592$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Yes | 35c | 5,066$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 9c | 5,023$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbd…9d9ebacked No | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked Yes | 66c | 4,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Yes | 73c | 3,551$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f1…bdc6backed No | 2c | 3,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…a609backed No | 5c | 3,395$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…14eabacked Yes | 41c | 2,801$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 19c | 2,574$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.54 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…2e3fbacked Yes | 47c | 2,526$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa29f…b607backed No | 16c | 2,445$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 18c | 2,081$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.53 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Yes | 41c | 2,031$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 31c | 1,920$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.64 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d9…d472backed Yes | 37c | 1,778$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23a0…f4f8backed No | 57c | 1,480$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a6…8b84backed Yes | 61c | 1,378$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 45c | 1,162$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.84 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…aae9backed No | 9c | 1,141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9404…1819backed Yes | 23c | 1,109$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +340.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…4230backed Yes | 21c | 1,097$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47c…77f4backed No | 10c | 1,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked Yes | 65c | 979.61$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 7c | 933.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 3c | 926.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 56c | 919.18$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…daebbacked No | 8c | 897.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…baebbacked No | 18c | 818.41$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 11c | 741.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 38c | 650.66$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c76…d4eebacked Yes | 10c | 645.08$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +274.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 33c | 621.29$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.53 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 79c | 614.66$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 65c | 586.08$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.81 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 46c | 583.62$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.33 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed No | 72c | 578.33$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.81 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01e…ea26backed Yes | 44c | 552.46$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 41c | 547.54$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.71 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 39c | 527.59$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 58c | 523.19$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95a1…7cc7backed No | 20c | 506.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 21c | 502.15$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…9a12backed No | 43c | 500$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…776ebacked Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 61c | 461.47$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Yes | 37c | 445.94$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e1…7b0abacked No | 56c | 442.48$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…ce76backed No | 55c | 432.1$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 32c | 419.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +164%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 46c | 404.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.09 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…aa93backed No | 15c | 398.41$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…163bbacked No | 12c | 386.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 5c | 359.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes | 33c | 326.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked No | 7c | 318.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 7cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 54c | 315.81$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked No | 56c | 315.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.77 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…37c7backed Yes | 16c | 310$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +285.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…3137backed Yes | 29c | 309.03$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7729…2d9ebacked No | 7c | 295.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 45c | 291.82$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…143bbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 27c | 241.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.17 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 52c | 232.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…40c2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 220$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed No | 76c | 215$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0937backed No | 7c | 214.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked No | 8c | 214.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe717…a339backed No | 46c | 211.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…c575backed Yes | 40c | 210$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed No | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Yes | 25c | 200$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.53per pick | 27cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked Yes | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…3fc8backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 65c | 196.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 29c | 191.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…bdfbbacked Yes | 50c | 190.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe876…42b6backed Yes | 50c | 182.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…73b2backed No | 14c | 177.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 174.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 171.47$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.57 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…31cabacked Yes | 47c | 170.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…e18bbacked Yes | 15c | 166.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +218.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c8…4b22backed Yes | 39c | 153.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 22c | 143.9$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.24 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?this page
- Will Adele perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Antonio Brown perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Billie Eilish perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Chappell Roan perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Charli XCX perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Christina Aguilera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Doechii perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ed Sheeran perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Elvis Crespo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Foo Fighters perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Gracie Abrams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Grupo Frontera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Harry Styles perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Jay-Z perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Joe Biden perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Metallica perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Miley Cyrus perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Morgan Wallen perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will No Doubt perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Oasis perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Olivia Rodrigo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ozuna perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Post Malone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes won
- Will Robbie Williams perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Romeo Santos perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Santana perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Teddy Swims perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will The Killers perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
- Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.