TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,801
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,801 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x40d9…d472backed No74c6,594$4,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.69887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes26c5,926$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.1464747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Yes21c3,819$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2530…b9e4backed Yes39c3,610$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.83333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed No77c3,526$2,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.611560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…c7c3backed Yes32c2,905$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2179…2fe8backed No79c2,062$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked No61c2,000$1,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.427736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf769…0114backed Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes21c1,883$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.563023.3%7 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…bbdbbacked No76c1,509$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.674100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ea…7a3dbacked No67c1,500$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+80.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No63c1,154$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.259754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked Yes55c1,090$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-61.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Yes30c1,007$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.699135.2%32 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…abc6backed Yes30c1,003$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30080%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed No73c999.99$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No66c919.77$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.931957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2100…930cbacked Yes37c900$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d2…90abbacked Yes26c899.99$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-57%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdf3…68aebacked No75c863.28$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7de6…c20ebacked Yes17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes29c584.28$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.274017.5%7 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No80c534.98$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5611837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e75…03c6backed No75c532.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10df…04a9backed Yes8c515.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.822236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+63.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ae…f471backed No60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2003652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed Yes34c486.54$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2a…d0a4backed Yes40c411.72$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.23100%0 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9f46…4f2bbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked No37c365.56$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.31250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes30c360.01$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.415679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes28c351.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f2…d8b1backed Yes46c340.91$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.032722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9cd…b120backed No71c337.46$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.46650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…505abacked Yes26c307.69$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3003…efa3backed No75c268.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No71c264.06$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.678958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45ef…143bbacked No76c261.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a40…4093backed No36c250.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.18100%8 W · 0 L+3.7wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes32c230.17$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9818427.7%51 W · 133 L-18.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2386…1722backed No68c227.95$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.213100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes32c214.99$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.359136.3%33 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005a…8519backed Yes40c201.76$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes26c201.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.581444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed No77c199.76$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.872965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes27c195.1$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0910731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1309…4a35backed Yes27c176.9$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.921323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-58.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b0…2f8bbacked No73c176.63$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80f8…a925backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-76.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadb6…67fbbacked Yes38c157.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed No74c152.54$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.24850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ec…37d3backed Yes33c151.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e50…7a6bbacked No69c150.86$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.561136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f2c…8e8abacked Yes28c150$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.580%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1841…c63dbacked Yes21c150$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.53743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Yes35c142.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Yes34c140$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4573…c16bbacked Yes23c133.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe717…a339backed No63c129.13$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c52…ff83backed No55c128.1$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.656165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7db…c00cbacked Yes23c126.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cd2…aa93backed Yes32c126.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d0e…407abacked Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes29c121.86$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.965933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No68c120.51$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.224546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce10…ef76backed No68c120.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.41580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81c0…8b96backed No64c116.91$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe124…9d4ebacked No76c116$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0be3…9fb2backed Yes45c112.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes30c111.58$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.475457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3dee…465abacked Yes32c111.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6750%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd29…fd24backed Yes33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-78.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb42…ebebbacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5086…5080backed Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.581450%7 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed0a…a6a3backed No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+60.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a70…18f0backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91f…a82bbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb74c…b149backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaddf…ce76backed No72c95.61$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b2…eb4fbacked No61c95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.254100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+63.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ad4…9aabbacked No68c88.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76a9…22cdbacked Yes31c87.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab72…b70dbacked No75c83.77$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.282532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23aa…931dbacked Yes44c83.64$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed No73c81.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.774153.7%22 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No73c80.52$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.037439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No52c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.424352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes17c79.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.492955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked No76c78.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.844100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x545b…4369backed Yes36c78.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…3d3ebacked Yes32c77.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cd5…1444backed Yes39c77.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2dd…00aebacked Yes54c74.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked No72c73.08$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.652222.7%5 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac03…3840backed Yes28c70$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.41926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b6…a43dbacked No75c66.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Yes38c64.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb411…c36ebacked Yes77c64.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2c…3fb4backed Yes31c64.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.