TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,032,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,000,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,032,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 725 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7804…7025backed Yes37c111,954$41,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,643.893551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d33…065cbacked No74c40,931$30,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,452.74450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5188…c804backed No65c36,115$23,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,727.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6799…87cbbacked No63c35,014$22,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,9202100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9648…6825backed No77c32,702$25,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,527.951030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab78…fac0backed Yes33c31,086$10,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,117.21422.4%1 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-95.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d7f…a878backed No70c27,895$19,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,394.19540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Yes20c25,528$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,138.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…170fbacked Yes47c23,787$11,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,142.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes29c19,708$5,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,701.3328151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9e0…a793backed Yes45c15,394$6,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,995.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed No66c15,178$10,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,147.19862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf769…0114backed Yes18c14,856$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.181612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d9…d472backed No75c13,401$10,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,326.55887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes14c13,396$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.47674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd575…32b8backed No70c12,918$9,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f9…1245backed No60c12,257$7,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,850.214454.5%24 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe105…5b88backed No66c12,029$7,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,150.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf6…4f34backed Yes57c9,576$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9420…1223backed Yes48c8,946$4,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,272.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f5…9cdfbacked Yes5c8,432$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2f…fd67backed Yes31c7,862$2,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,405.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4964…a330backed Yes30c7,556$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.881457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No57c7,380$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.51955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+36.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c65…701bbacked Yes41c7,130$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes22c7,115$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.4164747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed No63c7,075$4,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.873839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…e08ebacked No42c6,519$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,758.97580%4 W · 1 L+2.9wins+0.58per pick22cpaid+2,098.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No73c6,516$4,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.249754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb9…3585backed Yes44c6,392$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc84e…92febacked Yes26c6,279$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f46…1bbabacked Yes30c6,200$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5d…3047backed Yes36c6,064$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e5…b7e6backed Yes22c5,927$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4429…4409backed Yes41c5,910$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0203…270dbacked No70c5,751$4,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.463438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadc5…1679backed No69c5,721$3,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f3…1602backed Yes36c5,636$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc86d…c53fbacked No59c5,537$3,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.571553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x162f…798dbacked Yes1c5,500$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes27c5,368$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.233122.6%7 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-41.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes1c5,345$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.761625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes20c5,142$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.127736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No64c5,000$3,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,814.9983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes29c4,978$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4612751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7185…a5bcbacked Yes43c4,632$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef4e…a79abacked No78c4,529$3,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8602…ca8dbacked Yes34c4,471$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c30…1cffbacked Yes33c4,338$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,438.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-53.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc666…3706backed Yes29c4,308$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ea0…950abacked Yes48c4,281$2,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b8d…c3a9backed No68c4,098$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.52475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked No77c4,067$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+204.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb814…6fafbacked Yes41c4,052$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes43c4,014$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.836339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed No57c4,000$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.261650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed No79c3,813$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes31c3,649$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.4136826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56f5…3723backed Yes18c3,600$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5c8…dabbbacked Yes37c3,520$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No55c3,420$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.051050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d31…9a95backed Yes23c3,239$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadb6…67fbbacked No70c3,222$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes30c3,181$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.2810731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6680…9dbbbacked Yes16c3,165$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39d…f09cbacked Yes31c3,165$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes29c3,162$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.355933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3024…e519backed Yes32c3,113$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb6…2f32backed Yes33c3,112$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked No54c3,030$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.521546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a37…6984backed Yes31c2,976$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe970…d76abacked No68c2,957$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21fe…7b71backed Yes34c2,907$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58aa…518cbacked Yes34c2,873$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…fba4backed Yes35c2,844$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad49…f6d7backed No70c2,842$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x930b…2479backed Yes32c2,739$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5f62backed Yes4c2,697$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73af…a5abbacked Yes28c2,645$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes25c2,640$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5941…a96ebacked No65c2,628$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No65c2,614$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.448047.5%38 W · 42 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933f…54cebacked Yes29c2,603$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f2c…8e8abacked Yes33c2,565$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.180%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7830…aa7fbacked No79c2,540$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…ace7backed No68c2,531$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882d…fac3backed Yes31c2,503$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf603…82f1backed Yes1c2,500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e94…8aa2backed Yes37c2,471$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No74c2,396$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.528958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes21c2,332$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.083638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb51…f32cbacked Yes34c2,319$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e1…d10dbacked Yes30c2,317$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffc1…9a12backed Yes33c2,276$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.8980%0 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed No67c2,270$1,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$741.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.24per pick69cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2cfc…ee99backed Yes37c2,266$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x316b…03c5backed Yes24c2,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbff…5830backed No70c2,110$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed No76c2,096$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.59683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4517…eef6backed No74c2,092$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.