TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$833,111
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$915,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $833,111 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa44f…3f19backed No0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5baa…55b4backed No0c44,440$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cf…7b4cbacked No0c34,354$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd9b…934ebacked No0c31,160$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.16540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick27cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5dc…aa10backed No2c22,793$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed6…1249backed No0c20,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No1c19,472$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.1812827.3%35 W · 93 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed No0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15397.7%3 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No2c11,111$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.882040%8 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6755…7150backed No1c10,640$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa952…d6b8backed No1c10,640$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc981…a75dbacked No2c9,844$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.531216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-60.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd249…6a1dbacked No0c9,607$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2530…b9e4backed No0c9,552$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked No0c9,415$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.311811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-66.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3e7…4cb2backed No1c7,639$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee3…c6a5backed No1c7,639$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718a…2be7backed No1c7,590$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd1…fea3backed No1c7,590$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x486f…b325backed No1c7,044$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.411747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f2…d8b1backed No1c7,036$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.82722.2%6 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed No1c5,889$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.26611.6%1 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-95.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No2c5,371$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.545679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…1b76backed No8c5,018$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed No0c4,170$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.78674.5%3 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-71.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb5…4e74backed No3c3,036$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a4…a4babacked No1c2,767$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No7c2,435$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x207e…a98cbacked No1c2,307$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3c…843fbacked No4c2,307$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed No1c2,048$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.236934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8109…2153backed No3c2,023$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6750%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed No66c1,910$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.52035%7 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No1c1,593$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7512550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked No6c1,525$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.682222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-42.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd76f…228fbacked Yes6c1,523$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+326.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked No1c1,493$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+40.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…3f81backed No2c1,490$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.753429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c19…94f5backed No24c1,432$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes70c1,428$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.355736.8%21 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed No1c1,423$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.58911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick4cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed No14c1,316$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.712934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No1c1,302$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41362.8%1 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1daf…6b7fbacked No4c1,216$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.61250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked No10c1,148$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5413435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked No5c1,145$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2140%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed No2c1,136$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92478.5%4 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No2c1,126$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.817910.1%8 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3969…6e2cbacked No2c1,080$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.552213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid+167.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x075c…f9febacked No3c1,071$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-45%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…be1fbacked No2c1,037$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e73…6697backed No2c1,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2360%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No2c999.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218818.2%16 W · 72 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-42.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0067…ed88backed No12c917.26$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No6c887.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9252828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5584…6e2abacked No2c832.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked No1c794.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No2c783.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed No3c758.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No2c739.87$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.161444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6916…3029backed Yes33c673.74$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1521…90e1backed No6c650$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x236e…02edbacked No3c636$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-38.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fda…0187backed No3c605$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae9…d661backed No30c600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0deb…9b0fbacked Yes73c598.15$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes75c553.13$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.0219645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes73c549.99$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.541540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe103…59fdbacked Yes55c533.56$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4667…e1ddbacked No4c527.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b8…d747backed No2c520.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187a…2798backed No3c510$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36a8…6e4dbacked No2c505.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b2…4c86backed No3c500.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Yes64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f0…1addbacked No10c488.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No2c486.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2910731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40fd…f684backed Yes58c440.01$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed No18c415.07$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.033839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c5…1c95backed No3c390$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.142138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Yes60c351.63$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.652965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes5c336$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8613065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No6c327.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2911837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.92437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Yes78c291.56$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.566625.8%17 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cb8…902abacked No13c288.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No8c274$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.223735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba0e…dc13backed No10c265.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes79c251.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.572240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No17c230$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4728151.6%145 W · 136 L+20.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e8…2867backed No11c218.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258910.1%9 W · 80 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No19c213.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked No25c193.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.327444.6%33 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e77…e626backed Yes77c181.85$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64cc…ad9dbacked No28c178$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.846055%33 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc86f…2403backed No7c144.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe17…98e9backed Yes68c109.44$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.165750.9%29 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9354…0dfbbacked Yes78c96.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.013345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5754…e515backed Yes51c92.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0112634.1%43 W · 83 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Yes65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.311030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.