TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,941

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdcd6…84cdbacked Yes32c19,763$6,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,398.51250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked No78c14,658$11,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,157.421625%4 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf769…0114backed No35c6,135$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,017.431612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-49.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa2…2c73backed No73c5,688$4,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,543.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9507…7b04backed Yes5c5,405$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes0c5,112$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.121741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed Yes17c3,100$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…dd3abacked No78c1,947$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.772050%10 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes60c1,711$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.125457.4%31 W · 23 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d9…d472backed No73c1,534$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.19887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0f7…5d56backed Yes7c1,499$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.94616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick8cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b4…8f19backed Yes65c1,365$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed No36c1,305$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.351080%8 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+164%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No51c1,180$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.365939%23 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Yes6c1,132$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.946346%29 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b09…f3fbbacked Yes36c1,000$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d83…d1dabacked Yes28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.811241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No73c989.7$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2687439.2%29 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No25c932.49$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+75.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes28c781$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed No78c713.36$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1552544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes35c688.62$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.57616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-79%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c7…436ebacked No39c679.28$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69ea…15cdbacked No78c676.81$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+204.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d45…652abacked No41c622.27$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.521717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed No38c600$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.582965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes3c599.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x623f…1852backed No60c575.69$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe876…42b6backed Yes28c550.74$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.91728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes33c529.53$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.663148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc62b…625dbacked No79c483.47$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x119b…9deebacked Yes40c459.79$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98b…6430backed Yes28c438.24$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8c…b99bbacked Yes41c409.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e1…cdcdbacked Yes19c400$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf63e…d3afbacked No18c400$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+479.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Yes18c399.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes18c397.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8810731.8%34 W · 73 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe221…4230backed Yes19c368.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3b2…55cdbacked Yes25c347.47$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…bbdbbacked No76c346.28$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes7c343.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21444.9%7 W · 137 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89ac…5468backed No74c337.27$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…e2c4backed Yes32c313.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd165…b34cbacked Yes15c301.69$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90a0…7e0abacked No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04b8…ec46backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+77%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed No70c289.13$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.54785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed No74c270.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.391560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9cd…b120backed No75c265.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No71c260.14$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.643852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Yes22c230.2$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.643023.3%7 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e55…b5a3backed No74c217.33$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.33560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes41c202$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.581127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick62cpaid-57.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcef4…6c83backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509358.1%54 W · 39 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Yes73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd7…4c73backed No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.45580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes44c196.85$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.586934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes29c184.83$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.225679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8294…0541backed Yes56c180.49$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5460…1556backed Yes75c178.21$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes36c164.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602045%9 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes64c163.75$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7412141.3%50 W · 71 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes24c157.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be3…9fb2backed Yes51c154.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8130%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb61…d89abacked Yes16c153.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1e…bfe7backed No77c151.86$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.63837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-46.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed No70c150.56$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.669754.6%53 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe645…1213backed Yes44c146.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3056…c3c9backed Yes26c140.39$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x406d…c36fbacked No38c132.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.012100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…3edcbacked Yes37c131.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.89933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fe6…b39ebacked No76c124.1$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.03560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed No68c118.13$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+73.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes22c117.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.822560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6634…4b4bbacked Yes32c114.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa34…03aabacked Yes19c103.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf1…8277backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2c…8e8abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb42…ebebbacked No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e0…9412backed No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0978…3137backed No80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+125.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes18c99.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.912227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce10…ef76backed No70c90$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…f8bdbacked No78c88.88$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked Yes31c86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.923638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd39c…b856backed Yes32c84.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef6…0e8dbacked Yes34c81.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2424352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No60c77.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes28c76.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba1e…4250backed No68c73.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes17c72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39b6…a43dbacked No71c70.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe717…a339backed No70c69.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.89450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec20…c74bbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e8…7abcbacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x644c…0dbfbacked Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes36c64.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2360%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54c5…d244backed Yes32c62.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 46 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.