TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89e0…9412

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Music, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Music at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Musiclast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT5554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.94
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.94
Will "Petal - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 US song this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$34.16
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song in the US this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$13.15
Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$23.6
Will "Choosin’ Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.49
Will Olivia Rodrigo have 6 or more songs in Billboard top 10 for week of June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be at least 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$763Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$1,087.24
Will "you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love" - Olivia Rodrigo debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.32
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.17
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$931Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$634.76
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$212.92
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.51
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$7.5
Will Bruno Mars have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$36.3
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,971Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$548.11
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.94
Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in the US in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$49.66
Will Ariana Grande have a #1 hit in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$447Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$146.07
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$326.05
Will "Kanye" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.56
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$44.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$42.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.