Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x149f0692f942225d3d29ea04e511307a17e3f6e4c1a55f52f220c8c543604a6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,746,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,814,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,746,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,572 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63e1…68ecbacked Yes | 29c | 76,548$22,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,447.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 73c | 47,847$34,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,999.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…da62backed Yes | 65c | 45,271$29,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,556.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 30c | 43,092$12,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,833.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…8254backed Yes | 49c | 39,341$19,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,310.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…6ee8backed Yes | 45c | 34,302$15,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,368.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…590ebacked No | 79c | 31,481$24,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,706.87 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed No | 78c | 30,000$23,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,654.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a2…7b65backed No | 67c | 27,231$18,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,052.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 75c | 25,100$18,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…ab91backed Yes | 1c | 23,699$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.48 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…89f1backed Yes | 2c | 23,032$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 20,326$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.88 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e39…0055backed Yes | 3c | 19,834$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1344…5f88backed Yes | 45c | 19,428$8,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,654.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b78…4d2fbacked No | 57c | 18,449$10,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,998.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…944ebacked Yes | 5c | 18,422$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…9808backed Yes | 7c | 17,831$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6758…07b9backed Yes | 20c | 16,732$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,322.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 47c | 16,556$7,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,733.58 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 14c | 16,469$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…66d6backed Yes | 11c | 15,476$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1521…f23ebacked Yes | 78c | 15,420$12,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,068.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d5…1b17backed Yes | 28c | 15,268$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked No | 74c | 14,212$10,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,683 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 48c | 13,708$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,140.6 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…1a42backed Yes | 23c | 12,964$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf65backed Yes | 32c | 12,400$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 65c | 12,285$7,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x140b…d5c3backed Yes | 24c | 12,266$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 12,221$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 31c | 12,214$3,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,767.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 11,887$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.3 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…ee2dbacked Yes | 53c | 11,823$6,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,266.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked No | 35c | 11,764$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,616.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343b…fda0backed Yes | 2c | 11,760$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.87 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…7710backed Yes | 34c | 11,380$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Yes | 51c | 10,920$5,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,594.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…ed86backed Yes | 33c | 10,915$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,608.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…b366backed Yes | 20c | 10,797$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.21 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…e473backed Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed No | 45c | 9,822$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,426.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd219…9d36backed Yes | 1c | 9,352$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…4e02backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 11c | 8,520$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…658fbacked Yes | 12c | 8,480$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 60c | 8,229$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.35 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,933$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…ca06backed Yes | 7c | 7,665$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 37c | 7,575$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,775.46 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 54c | 7,360$3,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ab…8840backed Yes | 16c | 6,879$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 16c | 6,681$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.48 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 6,580$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.34 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes | 33c | 6,573$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,534$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…3b67backed No | 45c | 6,424$2,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,507.75 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 50c | 6,085$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,012.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +181.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 8c | 5,997$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…be74backed Yes | 22c | 5,970$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d86…0e96backed No | 31c | 5,919$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 31c | 5,916$1,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.84 | 294 | 47.3%139 W · 155 L | +34.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…1924backed Yes | 18c | 5,815$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f15…3e1dbacked No | 75c | 5,791$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…a5abbacked Yes | 11c | 5,736$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…6df6backed Yes | 61c | 5,725$3,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…d6e4backed Yes | 25c | 5,588$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fa…6d0dbacked No | 70c | 5,519$3,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.32 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.32per pick | 60cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Yes | 44c | 5,511$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 68c | 5,432$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 14c | 5,387$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…a23abacked Yes | 10c | 5,373$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…7708backed Yes | 0c | 5,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7f…9637backed Yes | 24c | 5,227$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.02 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94d…c69abacked Yes | 54c | 5,212$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…8e33backed Yes | 33c | 5,091$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…1a93backed No | 67c | 5,078$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…8f65backed Yes | 1c | 5,050$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed No | 64c | 5,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 11c | 4,937$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.33 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…aa25backed Yes | 22c | 4,883$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed No | 63c | 4,761$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.39 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked No | 50c | 4,605$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 32cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…084dbacked Yes | 52c | 4,594$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…5685backed Yes | 8c | 4,503$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0a…f7aabacked No | 59c | 4,362$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…428cbacked Yes | 28c | 4,302$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b2…4486backed No | 51c | 4,300$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…8b16backed No | 58c | 4,287$2,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…9d6cbacked Yes | 65c | 4,287$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…e2c0backed Yes | 7c | 4,191$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.61 | 59 | 15.3%9 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,178$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 6c | 4,142$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1139…f135backed Yes | 8c | 4,111$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -73%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked Yes | 34c | 4,096$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.81 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 47c | 4,086$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.18 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6420…fcccbacked Yes | 24c | 4,000$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…6c32backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.