Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb7f4a6e2e01a8f5327c27843be7bf0acc260175a67a256423fd602aa24cca70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 393 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 69c | 21,419$14,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,780.33 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed No | 1c | 13,009$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 10,859$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ae…6193backed Yes | 29c | 9,601$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,816.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed No | 52c | 7,617$3,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 0c | 6,584$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 63c | 6,512$4,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 32c | 5,862$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,963.03 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 61c | 4,971$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,020.48 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7169…1455backed Yes | 65c | 4,638$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 38c | 4,418$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.76 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed No | 1c | 4,351$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d15…c454backed No | 43c | 4,310$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 70c | 4,073$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.02 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…a6c6backed Yes | 54c | 3,942$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 53c | 3,707$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 27c | 3,633$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,652.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…b037backed No | 71c | 3,300$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb86…9d44backed No | 71c | 3,214$2,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147f…b1d5backed No | 71c | 3,087$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,191.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 1c | 2,716$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f71…2e46backed No | 59c | 2,316$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 2,217$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…e40bbacked No | 1c | 2,202$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 74c | 2,153$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 74c | 1,841$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.93 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Yes | 27c | 1,788$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 42c | 1,619$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.95 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed Yes | 43c | 1,410$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.79 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0753…c6aabacked Yes | 30c | 1,369$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.11 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…6e41backed Yes | 29c | 1,304$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 47c | 1,262$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.59 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…2609backed No | 1c | 1,251$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed No | 3c | 1,242$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed Yes | 35c | 1,218$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.58 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 28c | 1,209$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.82 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 31c | 1,208$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.12 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95f6…dd39backed No | 69c | 1,180$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e9…1898backed No | 2c | 1,154$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…a5abbacked Yes | 63c | 1,113$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 31c | 1,110$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 47c | 1,103$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.27 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -8.1wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 49c | 1,099$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.84 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 63c | 1,090$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.3 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 6c | 1,087$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23a8…8004backed Yes | 48c | 1,081$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…44fabacked Yes | 39c | 1,054$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.75 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c5…3071backed Yes | 37c | 1,050$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Yes | 50c | 1,003$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…6b3abacked Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 55c | 999.68$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.83 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes | 41c | 999.27$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5b…f1fbbacked Yes | 40c | 970.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.04 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01da…116fbacked No | 65c | 949.83$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 61c | 909.87$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x303f…5518backed No | 67c | 885$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…ebf5backed Yes | 47c | 864.01$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.27 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x323b…6ed9backed No | 63c | 863.55$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…f7bbbacked Yes | 39c | 801.21$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b2…8abdbacked No | 10c | 800$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc2…c7f3backed Yes | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 28c | 799.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed No | 72c | 758$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 10c | 744.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.08 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed No | 44c | 731.98$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 17c | 731.64$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 74c | 719.04$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…dcccbacked No | 44c | 715.31$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 55c | 710.54$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…0befbacked No | 7c | 700.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da8…8d72backed Yes | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…19a1backed Yes | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 58c | 680.86$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…ac66backed Yes | 54c | 642.99$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd04…dda0backed Yes | 37c | 642.35$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 15c | 638.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…fdfabacked No | 58c | 631.84$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 53c | 626.19$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 22c | 615.56$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 593.52$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.69 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 59c | 591.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586f…ce5dbacked Yes | 34c | 581.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 21c | 572.71$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked No | 70c | 569.78$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c60…2227backed Yes | 26c | 549.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +89%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…4526backed Yes | 26c | 514.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +283.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…49b9backed Yes | 32c | 505$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 43c | 500$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +214.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…6907backed Yes | 44c | 500$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c65…c4debacked No | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 55c | 499.99$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked Yes | 38c | 496$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Yes | 31c | 488.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.09 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed Yes | 27c | 482.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.41 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed No | 58c | 480$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 35c | 477.52$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…eea2backed No | 61c | 468.33$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…95dcbacked Yes | 44c | 461.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 38c | 457.2$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.96 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.