Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b70b8a0aa7170a96f9eec711e77fd634b770a7c8d108d8643ad14b89518a35c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 13,063$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.28 | 116 | 15.5%18 W · 98 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 5c | 10,262$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.31 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb994…72d5backed No | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…9989backed No | 1c | 9,500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6a…db19backed No | 1c | 9,207$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 52c | 8,306$4,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,011.91 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf25…3b7fbacked No | 53c | 8,211$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…81b5backed No | 1c | 7,728$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 50c | 7,126$3,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,561.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f16…7013backed No | 1c | 6,574$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…a6c6backed Yes | 50c | 4,838$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 3,951$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.84 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…ec95backed No | 15c | 3,360$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked No | 2c | 3,251$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 2c | 2,843$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Yes | 52c | 2,568$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…cbacbacked Yes | 66c | 2,485$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfb…3a6cbacked No | 1c | 2,260$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +409%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed No | 29c | 2,083$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9293…1800backed No | 1c | 2,064$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 57c | 1,835$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d2…9a83backed No | 1c | 1,827$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed Yes | 50c | 1,790$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.45 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 11c | 1,666$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed No | 27c | 1,516$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 56c | 1,476$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.66 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…42d5backed No | 58c | 1,364$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.31 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +12.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…8f25backed No | 22c | 1,350$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 3c | 1,249$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdb…6e41backed Yes | 60c | 1,142$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 54c | 1,070$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…243ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,045$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…baa0backed Yes | 50c | 1,010$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b5…bef4backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 57c | 1,000$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…4660backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed Yes | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 29c | 955$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.3 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 32c | 888.65$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.02 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 18c | 834.63$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 44c | 790.1$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.7 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…052abacked Yes | 62c | 686.65$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.11 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5018…6108backed Yes | 47c | 638.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 11c | 598.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 80c | 562.55$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.93 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdce…5112backed No | 50c | 560$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Yes | 69c | 521.61$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49a…36ccbacked No | 30c | 520$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 34c | 500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 47c | 495.15$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.22 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 38c | 488.37$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +154.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 40c | 483.57$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26fe…9fe4backed Yes | 44c | 458.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 52c | 447.41$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7913…350dbacked No | 3c | 446.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed No | 43c | 420.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402e…5d12backed Yes | 50c | 410.33$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 52c | 405.7$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 29c | 392.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e8…9010backed No | 14c | 374.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x336f…c31ebacked Yes | 51c | 371$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.79 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 44c | 363.76$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed No | 55c | 363.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Yes | 56c | 354.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…1679backed No | 20c | 353.13$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…25ecbacked Yes | 65c | 349.8$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +223.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…6c5bbacked Yes | 50c | 340$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 19c | 339.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 40c | 335.37$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 50c | 312.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.33 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe57b…8ac6backed Yes | 46c | 302.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…b906backed No | 42c | 300.48$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…4df7backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0b…b8b2backed No | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…ec05backed No | 37c | 282.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 66c | 280$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed Yes | 74c | 271.56$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb5…440cbacked No | 49c | 270$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed No | 27c | 269$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.91 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 35c | 259.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…eb62backed No | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…abf5backed No | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c6…2e08backed Yes | 44c | 229.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…c780backed Yes | 57c | 220.7$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…f3d1backed Yes | 46c | 218.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…f55dbacked Yes | 53c | 210.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc09b…d784backed No | 48c | 208.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 21c | 201.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…78a0backed Yes | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2e…eefabacked Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…cbc1backed Yes | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf9…e86bbacked Yes | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…a22cbacked No | 34c | 200$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7b…ac66backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 55c | 199.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 20c | 199.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…f328backed Yes | 58c | 199.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of January?this page
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $125 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?No won
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.