Music · resolved market
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8533c74f835e8f92bec54e14127040ef1ba6b2bf8dbae7f41d3b45147dc6f051
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 11c | 4,238$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 22c | 2,643$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.42 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…9412backed Yes | 78c | 2,519$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.11 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,484$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.72 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 21c | 2,443$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.94 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 1,587$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.1 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 14c | 1,488$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.93 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 1,048$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 1,013$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 22c | 938.22$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.13 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 77c | 731.44$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 68cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x278e…42ecbacked Yes | 78c | 509.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 20c | 485.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 27c | 465.69$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Yes | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 77c | 374.89$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 25c | 372.1$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.61 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 15c | 365.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 24c | 335.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…9240backed Yes | 73c | 295.75$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 24c | 293.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 19c | 293.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 71c | 260.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…2498backed Yes | 56c | 250$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 28c | 238.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 13c | 213.07$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…4d5ebacked Yes | 79c | 189.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 71c | 181.67$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…5143backed Yes | 57c | 174.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5431…322abacked Yes | 79c | 157.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 35c | 155.82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…a68cbacked Yes | 32c | 155.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1faf…3b59backed Yes | 80c | 152.69$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c5…f997backed Yes | 79c | 151.25$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…ffadbacked Yes | 80c | 150.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…4282backed Yes | 76c | 148.72$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…c1c8backed Yes | 77c | 146.54$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 11c | 144.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…aa11backed Yes | 79c | 138.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd740…41f7backed Yes | 79c | 138.25$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 73c | 137.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 12c | 131.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…4c9cbacked Yes | 60c | 126.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fab…9bf8backed Yes | 79c | 126.8$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…9859backed No | 40c | 125.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…9b58backed No | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…e32abacked Yes | 80c | 113.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 17c | 107.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…8732backed No | 35c | 99.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 17c | 91.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd783…69f2backed Yes | 80c | 91.25$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…b35fbacked Yes | 80c | 90$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31f…2e03backed No | 30c | 90$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 18c | 88.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 87.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…b454backed Yes | 80c | 86.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7f98backed Yes | 79c | 74.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 23c | 73.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd1…0a52backed Yes | 80c | 71.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6e…b4bebacked No | 23c | 69.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb23f…1021backed Yes | 80c | 69.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…73e0backed Yes | 80c | 62.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 25c | 62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…794fbacked Yes | 79c | 60.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898c…09b3backed Yes | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…93ccbacked No | 23c | 53.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…3ab3backed Yes | 80c | 51.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Yes | 76c | 49.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37fb…2df1backed Yes | 80c | 48.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe436…9be0backed Yes | 72c | 48.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…89a5backed Yes | 50c | 46.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 42c | 46.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…089abacked Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…407cbacked Yes | 79c | 44.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…160ebacked Yes | 72c | 41.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…fb5ebacked No | 25c | 40.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc7…1ec3backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 37c | 32.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 73c | 31.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed No | 35c | 31.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…d3b6backed Yes | 79c | 30.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9806…9808backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed Yes | 60c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…c26abacked Yes | 80c | 28.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…6be4backed No | 43c | 28.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…27d0backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…e3b0backed Yes | 69c | 24.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05f…b003backed Yes | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…8d24backed Yes | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb024…f7f9backed Yes | 80c | 21.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…9316backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf093…721fbacked Yes | 72c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?this page
- Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.