Music · resolved market
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e2d6bf9012c6c6131362d477153f4061b8904b439e6ac1191b09e07b0f90af7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes | 15c | 5,812$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 19c | 4,598$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,542$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.88 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 78c | 3,318$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…9412backed Yes | 17c | 3,018$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.94 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa584…cc36backed Yes | 5c | 2,943$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 15c | 2,233$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e81…78ffbacked Yes | 5c | 1,680$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 26c | 1,456$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.77 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed Yes | 6c | 1,398$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…df40backed No | 76c | 1,383$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…746ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,364$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,283$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…ff17backed Yes | 4c | 1,068$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…ecc1backed Yes | 31c | 1,041$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes | 49c | 937.8$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 32c | 857.72$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.13 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 23c | 844.44$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 838.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…2498backed Yes | 12c | 836.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe812…cd3bbacked Yes | 27c | 826.61$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…137ebacked Yes | 29c | 801.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed Yes | 14c | 568.61$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4461…4280backed Yes | 10c | 552.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 79c | 550.15$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 2c | 534.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f88…1c3fbacked Yes | 21c | 521.93$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c9…664dbacked No | 55c | 499.96$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…4282backed No | 79c | 482$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 75c | 477.74$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d7…0ffebacked No | 73c | 464.52$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Yes | 11c | 432.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…4357backed Yes | 23c | 430.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff2…9ba3backed Yes | 14c | 397.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 73c | 379.08$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +290.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…4c9cbacked Yes | 34c | 345.11$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 8c | 334.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +81%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea03backed Yes | 7c | 299.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf6…8b41backed Yes | 16c | 226.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…8aebbacked Yes | 22c | 223.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 20c | 204.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…e94dbacked Yes | 17c | 203.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b0…a92dbacked Yes | 40c | 202.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bf…1791backed Yes | 10c | 201.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…b776backed Yes | 29c | 201.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 13c | 193.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a9…2080backed Yes | 23c | 175.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c66…a0c7backed No | 77c | 173.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…7b85backed Yes | 8c | 166$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…5143backed Yes | 65c | 153.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed Yes | 13c | 151.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 36c | 150.93$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…b2a8backed Yes | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…70a4backed Yes | 21c | 144.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 12c | 139.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…5d03backed No | 79c | 138.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed Yes | 15c | 133.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…1ee8backed Yes | 11c | 131.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…b53dbacked Yes | 24c | 126.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 27c | 121.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2616…dacbbacked Yes | 20c | 120.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes | 12c | 117.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec3…6bd2backed Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fc…d4a6backed Yes | 9c | 111.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706e…98b9backed Yes | 23c | 106.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…6be4backed Yes | 34c | 106.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc53…78c3backed Yes | 38c | 104.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 11c | 103$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Yes | 26c | 99.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 12c | 92.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes | 31c | 91.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…7058backed Yes | 23c | 87.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 19c | 77.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 77c | 74.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fc…3443backed No | 79c | 70.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 79c | 66.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 77c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x241b…9b9abacked Yes | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…64b1backed Yes | 36c | 54.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 20c | 51.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8b…4167backed Yes | 29c | 51.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 51.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 59c | 46.67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0b…97dabacked Yes | 26c | 46.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…f7d1backed Yes | 29c | 41.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a7…6df0backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…57c2backed Yes | 31c | 35.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 62c | 35.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…ebdcbacked Yes | 39c | 33.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…99bbbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 62c | 27.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 66c | 26.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…9ab1backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa1…deebbacked No | 68c | 24.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?this page
- Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes won
- Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.