TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35a4…7b85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
165
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 58 out of 100; worst AI at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5364.2%34 W · 19 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.81
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$124.1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.8
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.74
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$17.7
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of June 1 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$242.98
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$9.54
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+353.2%+$468.71
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$50.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.26
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.9
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$4.07
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$59.64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,191.1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$148.65
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$110.77
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.12
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.19
Will Israel sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.85
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.66
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+82.7%+$33.96
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+146.6%+$162.84
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$73.32
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44%+$35.15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.7
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$98.4
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.7%+$86.21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.2
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$46.72
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.16
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.77
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.46
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.33
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+102.2%+$26.66
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$6
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.72
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+168.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-74%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-57.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+149.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+95.7%+$111.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rotterdam Open: Valentin Royer vs Christopher O'Connellbacked O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+38%+$22.8
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.9%+$5.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UEFA Champions League: Unbeaten Championbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the fight be won by submission?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.