Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdddbb467bd3467653cdfa564b7288cd968cf43f720401e1c822c40a3e5715039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $889,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $939,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 62c | 149,862$92,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,295.14 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 27c | 107,934$28,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,895.71 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 78c | 94,263$73,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,087.6 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 68c | 65,000$44,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,649.99 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 17c | 25,399$4,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.21 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 77c | 23,554$18,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.32 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 45c | 20,430$9,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,193.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d92dbacked Yes | 71c | 15,961$11,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,627.76 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 43c | 14,920$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,459.33 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…a593backed Yes | 63c | 14,643$9,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…d2eabacked No | 19c | 14,580$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 36c | 14,357$5,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,159.82 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 41c | 10,451$4,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,315.73 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…4b43backed No | 38c | 9,987$3,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,822.44 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 18c | 9,466$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.02 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 74c | 8,584$6,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.04 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 19c | 8,217$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.18 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…de8abacked Yes | 78c | 7,945$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 24c | 7,362$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.98 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed No | 12c | 7,101$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.82 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +9.0wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…c7a1backed No | 50c | 7,000$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb352…4fa1backed No | 37c | 6,530$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…c43ebacked No | 15c | 6,400$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 23c | 6,366$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…0617backed No | 34c | 6,101$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.14 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f4fbacked No | 51c | 5,804$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 30c | 5,730$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.05 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 31c | 5,371$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.38 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 28c | 4,507$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.3 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 65c | 4,426$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…fe5dbacked No | 23c | 4,366$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed No | 26c | 3,979$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 22c | 3,563$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.79 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed No | 52c | 3,470$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked No | 26c | 3,400$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 58c | 3,367$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955.82 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…83f9backed No | 28c | 3,256$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 34c | 3,207$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 45c | 2,850$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.5 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 11c | 2,615$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…8dd0backed No | 20c | 2,580$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…20b1backed No | 51c | 2,560$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked Yes | 59c | 2,554$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed No | 28c | 2,468$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…0a46backed Yes | 63c | 2,340$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 49c | 2,300$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 26c | 2,157$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.67 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…357cbacked Yes | 73c | 2,144$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.24 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked No | 40c | 2,072$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 72c | 2,042$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed No | 21c | 2,006$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 14c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 31c | 1,959$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.39 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,937$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.96 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 37c | 1,917$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.07 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…a364backed No | 20c | 1,864$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 49c | 1,807$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.75 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed No | 36c | 1,795$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25fb…7cc5backed No | 14c | 1,757$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 13c | 1,565$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.13 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…3b95backed Yes | 72c | 1,512$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.37 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 71c | 1,500$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…3868backed Yes | 75c | 1,499$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 18c | 1,494$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.88 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 18c | 1,477$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed No | 18c | 1,400$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…4f5fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,400$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf115…ad6bbacked Yes | 79c | 1,301$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.48 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627d…7d68backed No | 36c | 1,249$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba7…434cbacked No | 37c | 1,217$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 12c | 1,200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 31c | 1,111$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.93 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked No | 20c | 1,104$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.88 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…70b3backed No | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 50c | 1,100$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.89 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 58c | 1,100$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 35c | 1,070$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.42 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 76c | 1,062$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed No | 48c | 1,014$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…a4d3backed Yes | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f2…d642backed Yes | 59c | 900$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 307 | 38.8%119 W · 188 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 14c | 854.98$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.3 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…ff3ebacked No | 17c | 848.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec09…1db9backed No | 22c | 800$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…5523backed Yes | 62c | 782.66$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 20c | 768.8$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb3…b498backed No | 22c | 758.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.28 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Yes | 60c | 746.73$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.99 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc271…1708backed Yes | 46c | 721.32$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.32 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 30c | 721.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…b771backed No | 16c | 712.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3604…bd45backed Yes | 58c | 700$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a5…1f45backed No | 55c | 699.49$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.