Commodities · resolved market
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a37ea3830d532957b04d3c437a329e14a5dc840096d48c7ee4b55ba3d9cca8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,463,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,301,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,463,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,058 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,202,834$111,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,022.46 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 1c | 601,165$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes | 4c | 88,548$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,772.81 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36f…cd91backed Yes | 37c | 80,487$29,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,821.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4def…f8e8backed Yes | 0c | 63,191$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 3c | 40,355$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.77 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed Yes | 1c | 39,752$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed No | 63c | 29,976$19,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,946.65 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…d590backed Yes | 0c | 29,355$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 13c | 28,244$3,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,744.43 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Yes | 23c | 23,677$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.35 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 0c | 23,161$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7017…8118backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked No | 53c | 16,364$8,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,610.98 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e7…6e8bbacked No | 54c | 14,394$7,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,648.84 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 55c | 14,083$7,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,362.74 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 56c | 12,761$7,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.04 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc972…dcd9backed Yes | 1c | 11,845$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…9ab0backed Yes | 0c | 11,843$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360c…4343backed Yes | 0c | 11,460$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed No | 59c | 10,962$6,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.43 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 71c | 10,878$7,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e92…6929backed No | 28c | 10,727$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,694.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…d031backed No | 61c | 10,569$6,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bc…0c87backed Yes | 41c | 10,363$4,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,272.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b5…0538backed Yes | 63c | 10,298$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…13a1backed Yes | 1c | 10,255$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ce…944bbacked No | 59c | 10,225$6,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,203.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 1c | 10,035$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 58c | 10,025$5,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,790.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…2dffbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…d4dcbacked Yes | 0c | 9,992$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 48c | 9,400$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed No | 59c | 9,022$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4594backed Yes | 48c | 8,820$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.3 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed No | 79c | 8,294$6,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked No | 60c | 8,058$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.68 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…3766backed Yes | 67c | 7,911$5,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.68 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 77c | 7,740$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…4085backed Yes | 0c | 7,700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd578…4d58backed Yes | 0c | 7,503$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 26c | 7,279$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.69 | 292 | 36.3%106 W · 186 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 60c | 7,211$4,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.12 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…bb8ebacked No | 71c | 7,000$4,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed No | 65c | 6,788$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.76 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 2c | 6,600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…d6abbacked No | 54c | 6,560$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 41c | 5,547$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 67c | 5,426$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked No | 68c | 5,270$3,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…f507backed No | 59c | 5,194$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked No | 68c | 5,123$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 70cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…8029backed Yes | 0c | 5,027$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…e19fbacked Yes | 64c | 5,000$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.29 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 27c | 4,983$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.93 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed No | 66c | 4,660$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 45c | 4,641$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.52 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 45c | 4,420$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.06 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e4…0f41backed Yes | 75c | 4,383$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 4,348$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…f84ebacked Yes | 46c | 4,344$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 52c | 4,111$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.11 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 63c | 4,004$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed No | 57c | 4,000$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.06 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed No | 64c | 3,898$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Yes | 36c | 3,831$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 22cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed No | 53c | 3,804$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.67 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 3,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 56c | 3,760$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.53 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 72c | 3,660$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,621.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 24c | 3,640$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.44 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 6c | 3,575$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Yes | 1c | 3,555$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…fdffbacked Yes | 41c | 3,406$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e34…36b1backed No | 69c | 3,375$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 21c | 3,207$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.55 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444c…9d2ebacked Yes | 26c | 3,189$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.17 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…008cbacked No | 68c | 3,156$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.82 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…c7a1backed No | 78c | 3,104$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 57c | 3,061$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.53 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Yes | 1c | 2,932$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcc…12a6backed No | 56c | 2,707$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed No | 48c | 2,700$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…f0b1backed No | 75c | 2,663$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…d654backed Yes | 42c | 2,528$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed Yes | 33c | 2,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed No | 78c | 2,445$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.87 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 60c | 2,415$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.82 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 64c | 2,360$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.28 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…a5e9backed No | 59c | 2,310$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…5b0fbacked No | 48c | 2,298$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.38 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe652…d114backed No | 44c | 2,245$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 2,220$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.08 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 56c | 2,207$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.63 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…0db7backed No | 70c | 2,152$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b57…20b1backed No | 72c | 2,145$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed No | 39c | 2,116$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.44 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?this page
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?No won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.