TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x97a6…2190

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
195
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 60 out of 100; worst World Politics at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT7544%33 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+48.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$152.73
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$375.7
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$893
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+121.4%+$473.47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$57.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$31.49
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$235.33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+276.7%+$553.41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$408
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+309.4%+$309.43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+140.1%+$696.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$306.01
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+168.3%+$35.6
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$679Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.5
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT5523.6%13 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$218.74
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.32
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+184.6%+$406.02
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.1%+$695.18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,747Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$1,381.16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$130.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$324Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.56
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$733Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.46
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,081.75
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$292
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$46.84
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100.5%+$376.83
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+110.1%+$466.7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$549.8
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$119.68
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+88.2%+$396.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$1,666.53
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+59.5%+$324.31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+151%+$226.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$1,016.76
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,597.27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.58
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 70 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 85-99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 100-114 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 7 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.56per pick24cpaid+234.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick19cpaid+390.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick23cpaid+562.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+900%+$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$331
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.