TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$983,308
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$554,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $983,308 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes8c35,559$2,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,995.99287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes3c25,324$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.23828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c20,490$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4422623.9%54 W · 172 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c20,100$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.661163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes12c18,405$2,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.6313843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x064d…a0e4backed Yes3c15,402$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes1c14,271$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.610443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes1c13,999$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8615556.8%88 W · 67 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ca1…4268backed Yes2c13,935$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.9415230.9%47 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes1c12,760$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.0712322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes3c12,308$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.02248.3%2 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a92…52f8backed Yes4c11,180$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-76.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Yes3c10,933$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.6654634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes2c10,700$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.92020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Yes13c10,569$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Yes11c10,265$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.823336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7928…f432backed Yes7c9,289$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc940…4d39backed Yes11c9,049$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.6790%0 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x5be9…4ddcbacked Yes3c8,835$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28080%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b6…c324backed Yes8c8,830$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.772653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7187…f08bbacked Yes11c8,266$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.17147.1%1 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick7cpaid-78.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes14c7,583$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Yes3c7,551$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0786635.5%307 W · 559 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Yes14c7,296$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2800…4dd0backed Yes3c7,168$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x114f…681dbacked Yes14c7,146$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+33%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd87…ac38backed Yes14c7,013$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Yes12c7,000$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.181040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8086…f333backed Yes0c6,615$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4670%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd6…9011backed Yes4c6,481$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5660%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes3c6,444$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.45244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes6c6,399$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.611,84244.8%825 W · 1,017 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes1c6,393$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.374816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes2c6,253$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.12267.7%2 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes11c6,088$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.641414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b7…51d9backed Yes2c5,631$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-74.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes7c5,391$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.261,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes6c5,269$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1352750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c5,221$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.19933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c5,099$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.372,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ada…36cfbacked Yes2c5,000$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes12c4,732$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.9645737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…a31bbacked Yes3c4,435$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15070%0 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes10c4,167$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0335139.6%139 W · 212 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes9c4,050$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.351711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2fd…ecf7backed Yes3c4,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11090%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes3c3,994$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5110221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d77…af31backed Yes4c3,993$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.131811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-76.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9508…3f62backed Yes13c3,800$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.16425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c3,686$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.16521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b96…439bbacked Yes9c3,513$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes8c3,346$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4512033.3%40 W · 80 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes1c3,183$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9137744.8%169 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Yes1c3,143$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4337540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…7db1backed Yes1c3,065$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…5fb1backed Yes4c3,002$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes3c2,966$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1644423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03a6…1198backed Yes1c2,930$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.447736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes7c2,907$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.956,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes3c2,836$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes10c2,817$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.522,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd264…e811backed Yes4c2,799$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-83.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x473f…06dbbacked Yes11c2,794$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa143…5b6fbacked Yes2c2,775$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes1c2,711$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11244.2%1 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-88.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…1746backed Yes9c2,700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4240%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…1ddcbacked Yes4c2,663$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes3c2,622$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.368226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes12c2,616$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.547647.4%36 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked Yes3c2,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes3c2,461$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8627739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes1c2,417$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.97996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe131…7594backed Yes2c2,335$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes1c2,322$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.31128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-87.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5997…5448backed Yes3c2,285$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes2c2,267$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.62224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c2,235$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.769013.3%12 W · 78 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c2,205$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.66504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes6c2,183$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.691428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54b7…6ef6backed Yes9c2,129$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Yes3c2,088$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5417339.9%69 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3fa…07c5backed Yes10c2,049$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507d…4ff0backed Yes11c2,011$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93b…13a5backed Yes2c2,007$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes10c2,000$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.954729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes10c2,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed Yes3c2,000$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x982a…5887backed Yes10c1,913$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d22…e2bbbacked Yes11c1,875$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Yes2c1,872$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4635730.5%109 W · 248 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f06…e370backed Yes13c1,861$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed Yes2c1,844$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed Yes2c1,772$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.093250%16 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64c3…75abbacked Yes3c1,768$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5511545.2%52 W · 63 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe729…7300backed Yes13c1,758$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-47.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe359…ba7dbacked Yes1c1,703$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes14c1,700$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a6…2190backed Yes11c1,699$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955523.6%13 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.