TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$730,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$388,783

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $730,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x363c…4463backed Yes1c98,566$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.8927431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cff…59dbbacked Yes2c40,858$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.561030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-43.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes1c30,851$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.64933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes0c22,818$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.45160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes2c20,331$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.29224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c20,217$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4310221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes1c20,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.681163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c16,970$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes0c15,455$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7710318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30571.8%1 W · 56 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick2cpaid+94.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes0c12,991$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1210028%28 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f1e…f334backed Yes0c12,525$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes1c11,551$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes1c10,282$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.92850%14 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1446…0a30backed Yes1c10,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b2…95fdbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceac…2e14backed Yes0c7,152$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes0c6,950$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.08287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf040…3a86backed Yes0c6,477$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes2c6,433$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.271,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c6,379$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.042550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes0c6,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13195.3%1 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-87%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x766d…53b9backed Yes1c5,938$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090%0 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes2c5,738$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.7811919.3%23 W · 96 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes1c5,400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.410622.6%24 W · 82 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-40.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes0c5,332$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.472638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10573.5%2 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-89.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Yes2c5,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11041644.5%185 W · 231 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d7…c766backed Yes2c4,788$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.031414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick8cpaid-45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes0c4,709$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x452f…9b78backed Yes2c4,401$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.262839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes0c3,426$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1544423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a92…52f8backed Yes2c3,339$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-76.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9de…5169backed Yes1c3,077$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17130%0 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes2c3,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4895742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1933…b444backed Yes0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Yes1c2,697$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.271546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11ab…7735backed Yes2c2,685$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb099…3560backed Yes1c2,613$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355411.1%6 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0753…d174backed Yes2c2,557$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.13825%2 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-54.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e9…3fedbacked Yes0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b51…9144backed Yes1c2,222$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-87.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf71…40a2backed Yes1c2,099$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e51…618ebacked Yes2c2,070$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Yes2c2,028$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.623240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2f…35bbbacked Yes2c1,957$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3640%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,932$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.752,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f4…e22dbacked Yes1c1,893$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes2c1,845$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358725.3%22 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes2c1,765$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.370%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86ff…5e28backed Yes3c1,745$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ee…ff7bbacked Yes1c1,703$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f1…6900backed Yes1c1,666$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa054…07c2backed Yes1c1,626$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.638146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6af…c85dbacked Yes1c1,595$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa8…c82bbacked Yes2c1,500$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332623.1%6 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c91…d419backed Yes2c1,500$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…1ab2backed Yes1c1,428$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Yes2c1,400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes2c1,400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes2c1,389$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9249…d239backed Yes2c1,311$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.26156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-63%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd434…7dfebacked Yes2c1,235$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+668%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes3c1,200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes2c1,200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-73.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1463…ce78backed Yes1c1,061$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb5e5…8d48backed Yes2c1,057$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0360…d7fbbacked Yes1c1,053$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes2c1,044$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x788a…a3f7backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick4cpaid-56.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes2c926.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7870%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x939c…ad45backed Yes2c833.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cc…2c44backed Yes2c620$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4470%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3bb…2641backed Yes3c590.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-71.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb08e…eb99backed Yes3c526.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d77…af31backed Yes2c500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-76.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581c…c4afbacked Yes2c484.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.