TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$625,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$567,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $625,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes3c36,000$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04723731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes4c24,439$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.39267.7%2 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes3c19,643$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.8510443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes2c19,328$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.87828.5%7 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9508…3f62backed Yes4c15,922$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.13425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-34.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes3c12,483$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.291163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes3c11,491$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.22248.3%2 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes3c10,883$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.8622723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Yes4c10,045$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.435160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x895f…cfadbacked Yes2c8,000$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-58.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes3c7,987$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.3852750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes3c6,699$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.57543.7%2 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes3c6,302$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.94287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c5,810$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14210221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x38ae…2f79backed Yes2c5,759$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.114238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c5,093$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.382550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008239%32 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes1c4,694$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.422321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b2…95fdbacked Yes3c4,540$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.254233.3%14 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked Yes2c4,444$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.77244.2%1 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid-41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes3c4,342$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.171711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe267…5295backed Yes2c4,335$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x163f…b1c1backed Yes5c3,762$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae1…6abdbacked Yes1c3,349$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.451520%3 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c3,335$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.58504%2 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes7c3,263$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.56160%0 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6589…5e90backed Yes6c3,259$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes3c3,217$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10527739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c8b…0630backed Yes3c3,147$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8536…6028backed Yes3c3,051$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes4c3,023$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c1…4c92backed Yes2c2,994$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes1c2,967$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2944423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c2,874$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.642,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae0…fcc4backed Yes3c2,788$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes1c2,766$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.578640.7%35 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes4c2,600$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.895742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes3c2,505$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.15933.2%3 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db7…d20ebacked Yes4c2,500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ba…a1fdbacked Yes4c2,368$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes3c2,351$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+1,182.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes3c2,084$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.35922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+245.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38b1…01e5backed Yes5c1,984$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d0…17a6backed Yes3c1,968$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0511940.3%48 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6b7…51d9backed Yes5c1,954$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-74.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes5c1,948$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…baf3backed Yes3c1,925$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedbf…3eeabacked Yes3c1,921$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-68.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes4c1,919$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes1c1,825$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7715657.1%89 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66dc…8445backed Yes3c1,821$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.65812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+169.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Yes2c1,784$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9513363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1786…0e84backed Yes2c1,637$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ca1…4268backed Yes1c1,624$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8815531.6%49 W · 106 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x759e…9782backed Yes1c1,604$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc863…284bbacked Yes3c1,585$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0312…83b7backed Yes3c1,564$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Yes4c1,500$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.526833.6%90 W · 178 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f50…a1c1backed Yes3c1,489$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick6cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1caf…abb2backed Yes3c1,481$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74df…072abacked Yes3c1,418$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7258…2468backed Yes4c1,410$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97da…c718backed Yes3c1,396$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.79616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick7cpaid+91.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a81…5843backed Yes3c1,387$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes3c1,373$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4023836.1%86 W · 152 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76b…873cbacked Yes7c1,314$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Yes3c1,235$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357742.9%33 W · 44 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1144…312ebacked Yes5c1,209$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52e…0a1cbacked Yes3c1,169$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393324.2%8 W · 25 L-8.1wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes4c1,137$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0360055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes2c1,135$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.265416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+105.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes3c1,097$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9224229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25573.5%2 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-89.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fe3…7a8abacked Yes4c1,000$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+517.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe87b…8d24backed Yes2c916.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44277.4%2 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe131…7594backed Yes4c877.71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.773237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes3c874.01$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.97214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e3…daf8backed Yes4c860.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.372231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-37.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b13…0440backed Yes3c841.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes2c841.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.95996.1%6 W · 93 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-61.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes3c811.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.651936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae9…facabacked Yes2c758.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7719856.1%111 W · 87 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8177…51d8backed Yes3c745$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a70…34e8backed Yes4c709.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b29…3d3ebacked Yes3c674$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9407…e0b2backed Yes4c667.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca30…ae0ebacked Yes3c657$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde44…35bbbacked Yes5c654.76$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9f4…e22dbacked Yes3c636.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.76175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe153…1b27backed Yes3c635$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa179…60cebacked Yes4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ee2…a6adbacked Yes3c617$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2a…165fbacked Yes3c589$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes4c561.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.291,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes3c542.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.745036%18 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Yes3c528.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.517746.9%83 W · 94 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes4c492.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.58287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c0…7aedbacked Yes3c486.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes4c455.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010028%28 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Yes4c429.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.745632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.