TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88d0…17a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
173
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT11940.3%48 W · 71 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$940Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$940.1
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,021.9
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.05
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.39
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.73
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.61
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$67.83
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$56.65
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Nuno Borges vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31.29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$49.52
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Gianluca Cadenassobacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28.24
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$93.6
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34.35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maiabacked Leolia Jeanjean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$40.73
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.68
Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.51
Aix en Provence: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$181.04
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.39
Cagliari: Mariano Navone vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.74
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.07
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$15.06
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$43.15
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+150%+$61.1
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.09
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$88.27
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.27
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.62
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.6
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.24
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$81.64
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$54.07
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.48
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.43
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$52.8
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$66.14
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.22
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.31
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$31.7
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$81.12
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.08
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$787Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.43
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$61.67
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$252.2
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.48
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.59
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$9.82
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.89
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.49
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$46.8
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.