Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1760f6728cf03404a6b62ac4717d08fd6c0a3c813ebc38daaa087fa917156e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $412,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $413,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 12c | 98,471$11,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,809.19 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 55,946$15,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,033.01 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 49,879$37,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,353.8 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 73c | 40,766$29,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,006.75 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 22,417$16,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,052.67 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 73c | 20,000$14,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.91 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 14,169$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.9 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 13,296$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 35c | 9,330$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…8e17backed No | 74c | 7,540$5,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed Yes | 24c | 7,478$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.94 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 73c | 7,400$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a02…ebffbacked Yes | 31c | 6,648$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,048.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 61c | 6,594$4,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.05 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 27c | 6,175$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.15 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 57c | 5,296$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.24 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 28c | 5,081$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.6 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 20c | 4,760$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 24c | 4,460$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.84 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 28c | 4,198$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.78 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 78c | 4,082$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.52 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Yes | 26c | 3,400$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 3,061$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.02 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 80c | 3,052$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.44 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Yes | 15c | 2,822$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.2 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Yes | 27c | 2,656$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…2a4ebacked No | 68c | 2,449$1,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 68c | 1,935$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.21 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 27c | 1,912$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.35 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 74c | 1,803$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.85 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2827backed Yes | 27c | 1,771$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 25c | 1,692$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.19 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…7636backed Yes | 28c | 1,685$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86f…da81backed Yes | 26c | 1,641$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 62c | 1,591$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.7 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 36c | 1,539$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 78c | 1,483$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.82 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Yes | 26c | 1,360$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 1,242$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.52 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18a…d44fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,205$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0943…9a52backed No | 75c | 1,192$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 26c | 1,103$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…3de6backed Yes | 27c | 1,069$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Yes | 27c | 1,062$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.86 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 999.94$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 27c | 991.61$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.74 | 170 | 48.8%83 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 36c | 961.6$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.18 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Yes | 27c | 956.2$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes | 27c | 953.12$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.11 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…33ddbacked Yes | 20c | 952$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 19c | 951.4$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.77 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006b…ff69backed Yes | 11c | 903.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…a86fbacked Yes | 22c | 886.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x555b…c93dbacked Yes | 11c | 860.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 21c | 840.15$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes | 30c | 837.04$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 27c | 774.02$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.78 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 19c | 750$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…036ebacked Yes | 27c | 712.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b3…b15ebacked Yes | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…2ea9backed Yes | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 18c | 676.37$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 26c | 627.96$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…facfbacked Yes | 27c | 619.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Yes | 26c | 606.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.67 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7996…bbcabacked Yes | 27c | 606.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 74c | 604.29$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aab…15c5backed Yes | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…b58fbacked Yes | 17c | 589.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 587.89$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.73 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 582.17$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…202dbacked Yes | 36c | 576.96$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 74c | 573.77$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.18 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…0793backed Yes | 20c | 571.2$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 34c | 566.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 59c | 550.52$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.71 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked Yes | 27c | 531.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 27c | 531.22$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.43 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 72c | 528$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…d8b9backed Yes | 27c | 527.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.47 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked Yes | 36c | 520.47$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…e4b4backed Yes | 18c | 519.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c2…8c24backed Yes | 15c | 515.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 28c | 507.21$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Yes | 27c | 488.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…7c7bbacked Yes | 32c | 484.39$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…a8ecbacked Yes | 34c | 480.2$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e44…686abacked Yes | 27c | 478.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…a5e9backed Yes | 17c | 474.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 27c | 460.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes | 44c | 456.84$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.01 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda2e…8904backed Yes | 26c | 448.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Yes | 20c | 443.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 27c | 424.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 28c | 410.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.82 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.