Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46fe7c441e749e024f69e9eafa2bfba2c439552c0a03fb6831f4064106562de5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,353,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,980,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,353,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed No | 48c | 391,079$187,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187,973.03 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Yes | 51c | 366,290$188,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,024.45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed No | 49c | 188,887$92,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,554.47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 52c | 146,810$76,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,764.23 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 125,265$64,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,365.28 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f80…8a96backed Yes | 52c | 120,128$62,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,661.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 53c | 115,012$60,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,055.46 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 48c | 99,999$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,999.59 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 47c | 97,328$45,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,744.29 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed No | 48c | 78,800$37,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,823.89 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 47c | 74,999$35,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,249.76 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 47c | 72,449$34,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,243.41 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 53c | 62,342$33,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,300.69 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 48c | 60,099$28,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,847.73 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 52c | 56,031$29,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,894.77 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 55,254$26,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,397.81 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…5cfdbacked No | 47c | 55,000$25,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 52,690$27,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,306.91 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 49,548$23,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,523.08 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked No | 35c | 43,431$15,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,224.86 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 48c | 42,660$20,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,476.84 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Yes | 52c | 37,339$19,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,922.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 51c | 36,907$18,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,084.66 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 46c | 33,594$15,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,013.85 | 205 | 45.4%93 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Yes | 52c | 29,136$15,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,985.28 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 42c | 27,997$11,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,256.13 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 48c | 27,993$13,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,421.98 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…972fbacked Yes | 52c | 26,398$13,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,671.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 53c | 23,400$12,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,041.83 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…ccafbacked Yes | 44c | 21,764$9,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,097.22 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed No | 49c | 21,762$10,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,663.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Yes | 51c | 21,011$10,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,335.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed No | 52c | 20,395$10,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,605.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 53c | 20,315$10,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,548.28 | 176 | 34.1%60 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,599.87 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c1…d177backed No | 49c | 19,753$9,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,678.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…7cf5backed No | 48c | 19,000$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,099.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 60c | 18,749$11,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,590.29 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 52c | 18,677$9,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,964.92 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 53c | 18,022$9,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,470.21 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 14,730$7,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,376.87 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 47c | 14,256$6,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,746.97 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 51c | 13,725$7,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,037.25 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Yes | 52c | 13,074$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.45 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Yes | 52c | 13,074$6,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,275.45 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Yes | 52c | 13,007$6,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Yes | 44c | 13,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,279.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Yes | 50c | 13,000$6,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,459.95 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 47c | 12,050$5,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,717.93 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 55c | 11,800$6,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,445.91 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed No | 47c | 11,500$5,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.92 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 53c | 11,435$6,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,034.79 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Yes | 52c | 11,014$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Yes | 78c | 10,718$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 53c | 10,690$5,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.21 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 47c | 10,500$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,979.95 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x046b…340dbacked Yes | 53c | 10,177$5,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,754.66 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Yes | 45c | 10,090$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,553.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6a…3d59backed Yes | 48c | 10,006$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,161.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.96 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 69c | 9,971$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.04 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Yes | 53c | 9,793$5,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…89debacked Yes | 53c | 9,718$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,567.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Yes | 53c | 9,678$5,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.49 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 48c | 9,600$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,607.94 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed No | 22c | 9,532$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 9,368$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,408.26 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes | 52c | 9,338$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…9309backed No | 42c | 8,744$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 65c | 8,223$5,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.52 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 52c | 7,886$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,757.01 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…180bbacked Yes | 53c | 7,884$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.68 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 48c | 7,589$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,642.53 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 49c | 7,531$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,843.8 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d25…835ebacked Yes | 53c | 7,334$3,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,447.14 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 55c | 7,272$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.87 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 63c | 7,217$4,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.19 | 146 | 58.9%86 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 53c | 6,982$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 6,845$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.92 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 49c | 6,825$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 53c | 6,784$3,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,166.69 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc788…8545backed Yes | 51c | 6,108$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 44c | 6,000$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,339.94 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 48c | 6,000$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.95 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 5,995$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,883.5 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 54c | 5,964$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.32 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 47c | 5,955$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,803.42 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e2…41b6backed No | 49c | 5,935$2,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,908.2 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 52c | 5,934$3,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.34 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…0888backed Yes | 53c | 5,866$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed No | 56c | 5,842$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.3 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 47c | 5,682$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,685.87 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…5058backed Yes | 53c | 5,557$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Yes | 53c | 5,501$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.35 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 49c | 5,418$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.21 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.