Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e90f31e53f58c7e057ad52dd7b92a2acc7f864489230a98749f8063436ae5b2

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,587,143
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,655,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,587,143 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 923 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes	18c	302,529$53,051 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,050.7	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No	77c	187,040$144,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,118.85	112	67%75 W · 37 L	+6.9wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	23c	172,490$39,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,786.67	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	77c	119,165$91,448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,717.16	2,606	47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes	21c	105,529$21,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,809.94	106	36.8%39 W · 67 L	-7.7wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked No	76c	60,000$45,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,400	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	64cpaid	+28.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No	77c	49,184$37,765 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,418.66	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	80c	46,873$37,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,597.99	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	77c	40,915$31,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,535.56	1,358	48.3%656 W · 702 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d4…c3f9backed Yes	12c	31,955$3,734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,733.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd71e…79a1backed Yes	22c	31,780$6,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,991.53	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.17per pick	37cpaid	-55.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdb0…f8babacked No	77c	25,000$19,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,749.96	19	73.7%14 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	72cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No	76c	21,015$15,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,043.26	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No	75c	20,000$15,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,000	144	50.7%73 W · 71 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No	78c	20,000$15,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,399.97	180	45.6%82 W · 98 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92a8…3683backed Yes	0c	18,688$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Yes	22c	17,776$3,911 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,910.66	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…189fbacked Yes	0c	17,309$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed Yes	24c	17,179$4,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,123.01	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a02…ebffbacked Yes	23c	16,857$3,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,870.87	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	77c	16,192$12,468 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,724.19	216	52.3%113 W · 103 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd41a…fd60backed Yes	23c	15,552$3,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,591.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Yes	22c	15,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	50	44%22 W · 28 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No	76c	11,352$8,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,724.46	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+5.7wins	+0.19per pick	51cpaid	+47.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	130	5.4%7 W · 123 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed No	78c	9,938$7,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,186.71	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No	76c	9,083$6,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,158.3	502	49.8%250 W · 252 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No	77c	9,000$6,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,115	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	77c	9,000$6,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,114.98	163	50.9%83 W · 80 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No	77c	9,000$6,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,114.98	109	51.4%56 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes	23c	8,938$2,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,055.82	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No	77c	8,000$6,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,840	148	52%77 W · 71 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No	77c	8,000$6,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,879.99	64	48.4%31 W · 33 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5eb…a8eebacked No	77c	7,363$5,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,693.43	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No	79c	7,248$5,718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530.49	557	44.7%249 W · 308 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Yes	23c	7,102$1,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,640.64	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	76c	7,000$5,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,699.97	907	51.3%465 W · 442 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No	77c	6,000$4,620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes	2c	5,777$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.31	323	45.2%146 W · 177 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	77c	5,710$4,379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,331	866	48.7%422 W · 444 L	-12.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes	22c	5,589$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.59	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4469…dd6ebacked Yes	20c	5,583$1,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,116.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…7cf5backed No	77c	5,525$4,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,265.53	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	23c	5,308$1,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.49	660	40%264 W · 396 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Yes	23c	5,269$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.76	20	20%4 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No	77c	5,176$3,984 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,191.23	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Yes	23c	5,000$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes	22c	4,946$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.35	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes	0c	4,827$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c7…9012backed Yes	23c	4,769$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.87	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.18per pick	45cpaid	+45.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	79c	4,642$3,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.84	390	48.5%189 W · 201 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	18c	4,577$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.61	395	32.9%130 W · 265 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	18c	4,490$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.82	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes	3c	4,422$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.76	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+62%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Yes	5c	4,364$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.21	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes	22c	4,333$953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.2	71	45.1%32 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x933f…1540backed Yes	22c	4,317$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$949.77	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed No	77c	4,171$3,211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$959.25	41	63.4%26 W · 15 L	+7.7wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+50%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0e3f…8e8dbacked Yes	23c	4,147$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$953.8	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.14per pick	55cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Yes	24c	3,977$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.4	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf861…b42ebacked Yes	24c	3,977$954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$954.4	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a44…8985backed No	79c	3,962$3,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$832.04	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No	78c	3,947$3,079 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$868.38	185	61.6%114 W · 71 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9740…6babbacked Yes	22c	3,751$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes	25c	3,745$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.03	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecc…6930backed Yes	5c	3,678$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.89	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	35cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No	78c	3,651$2,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$803.26	77	59.7%46 W · 31 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No	77c	3,613$2,782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.77	210	56.7%119 W · 91 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No	77c	3,563$2,733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$829.48	138	47.1%65 W · 73 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	77c	3,500$2,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$805	152	55.9%85 W · 67 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes	1c	3,369$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.51	112	34.8%39 W · 73 L	+8.5wins	+0.08per pick	27cpaid	+10%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9d0…97debacked Yes	23c	3,318$763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.04	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No	77c	3,000$2,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	143	58%83 W · 60 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3f7…f325backed Yes	24c	2,983$716 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.8	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x896d…cd2cbacked No	78c	2,951$2,301 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649.12	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	78c	2,854$2,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$627.86	783	42.5%333 W · 450 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No	79c	2,843$2,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$608.69	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1976…9c89backed Yes	24c	2,784$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.08	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63b0…4cf2backed Yes	23c	2,736$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$629.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No	78c	2,568$2,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.44	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1163…8ec4backed No	78c	2,520$1,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$546.02	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes	4c	2,421$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.23	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1b…bc0cbacked Yes	24c	2,404$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.64	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+22%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes	22c	2,372$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.93	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes	21c	2,342$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.78	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.16per pick	33cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15bd…1457backed Yes	23c	2,294$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.34	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Yes	21c	2,264$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.34	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked No	79c	2,226$1,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.39	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No	76c	2,180$1,660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.56	296	58.1%172 W · 124 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b16…1d14backed Yes	12c	2,170$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.71	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes	22c	2,166$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.6	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes	21c	2,163$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.23	277	52.3%145 W · 132 L	+8.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d6…679abacked Yes	5c	2,161$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes	23c	2,098$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.62	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	41cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3aae…d605backed Yes	22c	2,093$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.38	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No	78c	2,089$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.69	583	48.5%283 W · 300 L	+21.3wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Yes	23c	2,073$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.9	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed No	77c	2,025$1,562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$463.23	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No	77c	2,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No	77c	2,000$1,540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	62	62.9%39 W · 23 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?this page
Will Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event