TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd5eb…a8ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$921Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$637.67
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.58
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.55
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$177
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$65.65
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$128.47
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.74
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$104.34
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$151.74
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.06
All 13 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$35.53
Will Germany win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+82.8%+$45.89
Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greecebacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Sloveniabacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$79.08
Euro Basket: Spain vs Greecebacked Greece · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$127.79
Euro Basket: Estonia vs Portugalbacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+131.8%+$179.42
Euro Basket: France vs Polandbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+25%+$5.65
Euro Basket: Czech Republic vs Estoniabacked Republic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.75
Euro Basket: Estonia vs Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$22.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,747Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,747.07
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,414Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+189.5%+$4,573.85
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,467.6
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,716.97
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$458.81
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$479.26
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$203.08
Dodgers vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$154.83
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.7
Red Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$78.4
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.56
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$134.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.4
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+44.9%+$130.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs Stormbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$11.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,073Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$357.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auburn vs. Baylorbacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Coltsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$635
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,060
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.