Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: France vs Poland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x545661e038fc8dfc6666492a090a1ec4f45e691845c76c7fd8816206733b3cdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franceof France, Poland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,778
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Poland | 16c | 89,799$14,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,486.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Poland | 16c | 28,247$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.67 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Poland | 19c | 10,037$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked France | 78c | 8,115$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Poland | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Poland | 12c | 2,980$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Poland | 34c | 2,532$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.79 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Poland | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Poland | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Poland | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked France | 79c | 1,971$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Poland | 23c | 1,895$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Poland | 23c | 1,111$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Poland | 19c | 1,049$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Poland | 20c | 1,026$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Poland | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Poland | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Poland | 24c | 924.82$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Poland | 18c | 833$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Poland | 12c | 714.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.86 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked France | 79c | 700$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Poland | 21c | 656.46$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed France | 66c | 605.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Poland | 17c | 599.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed France | 74c | 530.74$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…6c1cbacked Poland | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed France | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Poland | 22c | 445$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3930…13b0backed Poland | 29c | 360$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Poland | 19c | 230$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Poland | 21c | 222.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed France | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Poland | 21c | 199.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Poland | 22c | 177.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Poland | 24c | 157.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Poland | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Poland | 37c | 118.59$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Poland | 24c | 116.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…9dd5backed Poland | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Poland | 19c | 99.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Poland | 19c | 75.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed France | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Poland | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x471a…e242backed Poland | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…e7aabacked Poland | 19c | 59.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked France | 73c | 59.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…bfd4backed France | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed France | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked France | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked France | 80c | 28.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked France | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…e661backed France | 55c | 20.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c17…4398backed France | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…ec02backed France | 79c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…235fbacked France | 79c | 18.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.