TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Euro Basket: Turkey vs Greece

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Turkeyof Turkey, Greece
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,212

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54e9…e12abacked Turkey75c12,430$9,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Greece25c11,871$2,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,99210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Greece18c9,798$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.7734344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Greece27c9,765$2,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,634.156535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Greece24c7,557$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.591947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed Turkey50c7,326$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,662.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Greece50c6,877$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,419.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Greece27c5,271$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.7414542.1%61 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Greece1c5,004$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Turkey52c3,839$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Turkey74c2,713$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.46862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Greece50c2,271$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.51728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Turkey48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.98728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-34.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e4e…62d5backed Greece50c1,886$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b0…1a45backed Greece15c1,567$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Greece50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x761a…d9babacked Turkey51c1,452$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.031070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31e0…94b0backed Greece50c1,432$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Greece52c1,281$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Turkey52c1,243$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Greece47c1,229$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.329136.3%33 W · 58 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x285f…6662backed Greece17c1,171$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f8…4dc3backed Turkey52c1,127$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.921060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Greece41c1,100$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.61030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Greece6c1,100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94e5…6cfebacked Turkey50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e58…f73bbacked Turkey50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed Greece3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Greece31c752.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.268344.6%37 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Turkey72c694.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Greece50c684$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3423240.6%13 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Greece4c610$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23040%12 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e6…c6f9backed Greece50c607.39$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c5…0166backed Greece3c600$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed Turkey50c578.75$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Turkey48c563.63$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.45724.6%14 W · 43 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b21…1c38backed Turkey65c515.15$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick73cpaid-61.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f06…8cf5backed Turkey55c504$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ca…c7f5backed Turkey50c504$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe87a…6d01backed Turkey67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Turkey52c465$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Greece4c439$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.011598.2%13 W · 146 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Turkey62c406.89$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.831553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa7…b2e9backed Greece5c399.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Greece52c399.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…cea8backed Turkey50c396$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…a3e2backed Turkey50c391.9$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Greece53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-53.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe521…d914backed Turkey73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ba…2589backed Greece33c335.16$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff24…4ac9backed Greece21c334.32$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Turkey51c285.71$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1405240.4%21 W · 31 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-23.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xac25…f77cbacked Greece19c271.82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Greece34c271$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Greece50c270$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ff…a0f9backed Greece7c267.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Greece48c261.2$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Turkey50c255.28$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.091450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb47…c6e8backed Greece52c252.38$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Greece52c248.08$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Greece33c245.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Greece21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ce7…b708backed Turkey52c232.83$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.03333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Greece53c207.19$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.812544%11 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Greece40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-50.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Greece50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2954…d34ebacked Turkey52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+209.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Turkey52c191.85$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70bc…4e16backed Turkey52c185.69$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.13475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+61.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96bf…ba22backed Turkey48c179.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Greece50c164.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.28757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd352…f64dbacked Greece7c160$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Greece34c154.96$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Turkey65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4427…9016backed Greece22c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.550%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72b4…f138backed Greece50c148.86$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x301d…05f2backed Greece52c147.67$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.79742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+148.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Greece47c143.09$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Greece33c123.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5eb…a8eebacked Greece13c121.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Greece34c114.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3606…9bd2backed Turkey64c113.58$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.892040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Greece24c110$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522c…659bbacked Turkey70c108.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c53…cba8backed Greece52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+66.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb4…0c34backed Turkey49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511060%6 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+80.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed Turkey51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a06…69fabacked Greece51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedfd…bcf0backed Turkey51c96.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb782…c353backed Turkey52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick46cpaid+198.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Greece48c85.02$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cd0…6e79backed Greece39c81.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1675…76a3backed Turkey64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba62…4043backed Greece19c77.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1f…e547backed Turkey49c76.01$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.011040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed Greece42c75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2550%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d5…e937backed Greece52c72.83$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e58…aebebacked Turkey51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef23…9971backed Turkey51c68.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.631764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Turkey52c63.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.