Euroleague · resolved market
Euro Basket: Estonia vs Latvia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40b51dfe5baa9bcc78531789b794e6b006c5bc982852dd83ceaecda407f2e5ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Latviaof Estonia, Latvia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Estonia | 16c | 2,563$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Estonia | 21c | 1,634$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.48 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Latvia | 78c | 1,155$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…5231backed Estonia | 6c | 642.95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Estonia | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Estonia | 20c | 510$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Estonia | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8017…6c1cbacked Estonia | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…c8a2backed Latvia | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…d2a9backed Estonia | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Latvia | 78c | 150.77$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 65cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Estonia | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Latvia | 76c | 117.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Estonia | 25c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Latvia | 76c | 95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Latvia | 75c | 90.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…3668backed Latvia | 76c | 68.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Latvia | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…3684backed Estonia | 26c | 45.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Latvia | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.