NFL · resolved market
Broncos vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddf98fc07d7824086f2bb238ff0a7c86268f9bd1e9c23c3f92470fe2a658c7d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coltsof Broncos, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,444,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,444,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,444,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f9b…3d2cbacked Broncos | 54c | 1,061,297$569,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569,108.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Colts | 47c | 426,186$198,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,979.01 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Broncos | 54c | 220,989$119,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,334.12 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Colts | 47c | 210,566$98,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,938.29 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Colts | 46c | 189,777$88,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,594.07 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Colts | 46c | 150,000$69,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,000 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Colts | 47c | 106,340$49,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,360.42 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Broncos | 53c | 92,500$49,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,025 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Broncos | 56c | 82,584$45,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,882.59 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Colts | 46c | 81,365$37,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,915.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Colts | 46c | 75,367$34,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,698.09 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Colts | 31c | 63,907$19,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,247.22 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Broncos | 53c | 63,800$33,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,814 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Colts | 43c | 62,401$26,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,763.53 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Broncos | 73c | 51,780$37,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,549.98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Colts | 46c | 50,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,800 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…69fdbacked Colts | 35c | 50,000$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,499.97 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Colts | 47c | 38,000$17,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,140 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Colts | 47c | 36,920$17,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,567.6 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Colts | 42c | 32,373$13,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,829.88 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Colts | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Colts | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Colts | 40c | 24,267$9,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,561.2 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Colts | 47c | 24,049$11,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,812.96 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Broncos | 67c | 23,048$15,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,458.43 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Colts | 32c | 18,385$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,528.25 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colts | 36c | 18,360$6,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,686.23 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colts | 37c | 15,379$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,636.49 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Broncos | 53c | 13,024$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,945.21 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Colts | 47c | 11,307$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,992.69 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Broncos | 54c | 10,756$5,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,808.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Colts | 11c | 10,325$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,201.87 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Colts | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Colts | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Colts | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Colts | 23c | 9,048$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,966.83 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Broncos | 75c | 8,085$6,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,063.75 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Colts | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e98…1f51backed Colts | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Broncos | 77c | 7,500$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Colts | 47c | 6,967$3,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.38 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Colts | 42c | 6,834$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,969.84 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colts | 47c | 6,834$3,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.02 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Broncos | 53c | 6,551$3,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,466.29 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Broncos | 52c | 5,567$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.62 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Broncos | 70c | 5,532$3,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.77 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Broncos | 66c | 5,221$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,436.09 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Broncos | 57c | 5,144$2,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,955.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Colts | 43c | 5,097$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.21 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Broncos | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Colts | 46c | 4,773$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.41 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Colts | 46c | 4,581$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.93 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Broncos | 68c | 4,503$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.36 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Colts | 46c | 4,428$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.8 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colts | 46c | 4,357$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.97 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Colts | 46c | 4,347$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,327.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Colts | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Colts | 42c | 3,831$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,230.95 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Colts | 40c | 3,743$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Broncos | 53c | 3,695$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.29 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Broncos | 58c | 3,423$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Colts | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Colts | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Colts | 42c | 2,996$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.74 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Colts | 58c | 2,947$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.74 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colts | 32c | 2,867$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.06 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked Colts | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Broncos | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…6cfebacked Broncos | 65c | 2,324$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colts | 30c | 2,242$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.03 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Broncos | 53c | 2,224$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.6 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Colts | 8c | 2,163$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.3 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Colts | 47c | 2,132$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.64 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Broncos | 53c | 2,100$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.99 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Colts | 51c | 1,971$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.89 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Broncos | 61c | 1,834$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Colts | 46c | 1,826$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.04 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Colts | 47c | 1,767$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.12 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…9a0dbacked Broncos | 53c | 1,764$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Broncos | 67c | 1,752$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.5 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Colts | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b233backed Colts | 47c | 1,649$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Broncos | 54c | 1,555$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.41 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Broncos | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Colts | 32c | 1,500$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.35 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Colts | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Colts | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Colts | 46c | 1,500$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.23 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f22…0963backed Broncos | 1c | 1,496$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Colts | 46c | 1,477$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.57 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Colts | 58c | 1,404$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colts | 47c | 1,338$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.14 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1e…2e41backed Broncos | 54c | 1,311$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.63 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Broncos | 53c | 1,204$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Colts | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Broncos | 68c | 1,183$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.5 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Colts | 47c | 1,137$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.53 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Broncos | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Colts | 35c | 1,100$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9596…b1e4backed Broncos | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Broncos vs. Coltsthis page
- Broncos vs. Colts: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Broncos (-1.5)Colts won
- Spread: Broncos (-2.5)Colts won
- Spread: Broncos (-3.5)Colts won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.