Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e9f2af32fe634fc612f28e9b8f1fa07a3f875f975bf92d5850ecfadccffc0ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $598,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $649,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $598,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed MOUZ | 41c | 89,836$37,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,789.01 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed MOUZ | 42c | 32,402$13,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,912.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Liquid | 24c | 26,702$6,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.06 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Liquid | 41c | 26,140$10,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,609.56 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed MOUZ | 40c | 25,211$10,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,130.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked MOUZ | 69c | 22,732$15,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,137.49 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ | 53c | 20,757$11,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,742.91 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid | 53c | 20,166$10,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,726.14 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 17,339$10,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,232.03 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Liquid | 58c | 15,555$9,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,021.9 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 52c | 14,855$7,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,674.92 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Liquid | 57c | 11,763$6,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,725.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Liquid | 59c | 11,558$6,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,822.95 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 34c | 11,420$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.57 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked MOUZ | 56c | 10,980$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,871.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 57c | 10,439$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked MOUZ | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed Team Liquid | 40c | 9,715$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,932.96 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 66c | 9,412$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.81 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 8,922$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,352.99 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 8,198$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.49 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ | 51c | 8,060$4,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.71 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed Team Liquid | 33c | 7,576$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 6,820$3,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,846.9 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26f…1545backed Team Liquid | 24c | 6,735$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Liquid | 58c | 6,482$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,776.14 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Liquid | 22c | 6,327$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.57 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…8dcfbacked MOUZ | 64c | 6,294$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…f1babacked Team Liquid | 60c | 5,641$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 5,555$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 5,115$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,937.99 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Liquid | 59c | 5,004$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.57 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 60c | 4,325$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.22 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid | 59c | 4,275$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.23 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed MOUZ | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Liquid | 50c | 3,874$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.04 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 79c | 3,317$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.27 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 3,226$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.3 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Team Liquid | 34c | 3,155$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.65 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Team Liquid | 60c | 3,125$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 41c | 3,066$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.9 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,000$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 59cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 59c | 2,934$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.09 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed MOUZ | 54c | 2,851$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ | 42c | 2,732$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.7 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Team Liquid | 48c | 2,521$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.66 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,455$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.87 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,294$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.51 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Team Liquid | 26c | 2,288$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 2,200$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.79 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…a08abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…8085backed MOUZ | 41c | 2,000$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,987$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.48 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…74ebbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,938$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68d7…1c0bbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,718$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,711$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 1,671$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…701fbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,600$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Team Liquid | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 1,590$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.16 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Liquid | 21c | 1,583$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.59 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,557$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.33 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5c…7e3bbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Team Liquid | 2c | 1,491$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Liquid | 25c | 1,440$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,400$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Team Liquid | 7c | 1,400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,316$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.73 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,310$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.31 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Liquid | 31c | 1,307$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.25 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,252$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…d599backed MOUZ | 68c | 1,210$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed MOUZ | 72c | 1,200$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,114$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.18 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,106$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,093$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,035$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,029$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3099…cd58backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,010$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 995.1$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.44 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Team Liquid | 39c | 953.36$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed MOUZ | 43c | 951.16$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.16 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…518cbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 949.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Liquid | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked Team Liquid | 5c | 889.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 59c | 888$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.92 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ | 63c | 877.5$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.9 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…e6f2backed Team Liquid | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.