Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5525518df6341a6510fad64a67576359e809394fe4dbbba50385f0bbb37e0ed4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed MOUZ | 42c | 15,401$6,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,858.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 14,947$7,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,433.7 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 14,443$8,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,607.89 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Liquid | 58c | 10,997$6,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,347.89 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 45c | 10,865$4,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,934.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 40c | 10,381$4,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,185.25 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 3c | 9,107$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.64 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 41c | 6,991$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,105.81 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Liquid | 60c | 6,428$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.53 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 56c | 6,000$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed MOUZ | 57c | 4,331$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 45c | 4,328$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.18 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed MOUZ | 42c | 4,029$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Liquid | 4c | 3,479$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.24 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,462$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.63 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 40c | 3,229$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.3 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed MOUZ | 45c | 3,217$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed MOUZ | 44c | 3,165$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.52 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 2,509$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.16 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ | 71c | 1,971$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.42 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,744$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.68 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,609$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.28 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.99 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Liquid | 12c | 1,282$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Liquid | 3c | 1,253$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Liquid | 3c | 1,185$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…4c6dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 1,157$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,094$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.44 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.98 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Team Liquid | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78f…3a77backed MOUZ | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked MOUZ | 42c | 947.65$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.31 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 58c | 940.14$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.38 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…4a2ebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed MOUZ | 44c | 816.01$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 42c | 811.81$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.85 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 40c | 807.5$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.13 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked MOUZ | 44c | 682.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.16 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…6546backed Team Liquid | 56c | 587.34$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Liquid | 61c | 582.72$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.46 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 540$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 533.92$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.36 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…356bbacked Team Liquid | 22c | 505.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Liquid | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Liquid | 60c | 493.67$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed MOUZ | 44c | 454.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.89 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Liquid | 18c | 408.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ | 64c | 375$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.6 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Team Liquid | 20c | 350.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 338.09$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Liquid | 60c | 332.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Liquid | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 300$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked MOUZ | 42c | 299.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed MOUZ | 51c | 295.48$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.93 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked MOUZ | 68c | 292.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.56 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 58c | 270$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 38c | 262.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed MOUZ | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Team Liquid | 50c | 240.87$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 229.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed MOUZ | 44c | 215.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Team Liquid | 58c | 212.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked MOUZ | 39c | 211.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed MOUZ | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Liquid | 57c | 176.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Liquid | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…3859backed Team Liquid | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 40c | 174.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Team Liquid | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed Team Liquid | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed Team Liquid | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed MOUZ | 49c | 137.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked MOUZ | 45c | 129.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…b234backed Team Liquid | 25c | 122$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 120.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…74bdbacked MOUZ | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Team Liquid | 51c | 109$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked MOUZ | 73c | 108.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed MOUZ | 48c | 104.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed MOUZ | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Liquid | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed MOUZ | 44c | 96.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.26 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed MOUZ | 43c | 95.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked MOUZ | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ | 50c | 87.71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 86.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…d158backed Team Liquid | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed MOUZ | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed MOUZ | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Liquid | 21c | 79.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)MOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.