Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa732802dccfa88ab7ff6c88abd1ba2161eaacde7698e006be6cb3ad645051a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $192,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ | 36c | 39,459$14,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,071.19 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 2c | 19,429$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Liquid | 57c | 14,452$8,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,197.6 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Liquid | 67c | 8,174$5,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.66 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 7,217$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,445.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 29c | 5,338$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.17 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid | 67c | 4,669$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.63 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 4,409$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.51 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 44c | 4,401$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.62 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ | 44c | 4,367$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.14 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 4,221$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.61 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Team Liquid | 57c | 3,954$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.02 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 55c | 2,384$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.68 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 2,021$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.86 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,975$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.54 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,843$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,809$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.96 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,674$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.81 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 1,638$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,533$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.67 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,491$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.99 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,440$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.84 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Team Liquid | 30c | 1,397$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.63 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ | 42c | 1,160$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.6 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,100$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…4c6dbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,054$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3342…f908backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,000$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcf…75b9backed MOUZ | 75c | 829.86$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed MOUZ | 27c | 827.19$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.97 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed MOUZ | 37c | 799.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab0…2fe9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 786.98$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.66 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 740$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.6 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 683.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 623.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.58 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 70c | 605.19$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.15 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Liquid | 50c | 600$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ | 43c | 594.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.59 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Team Liquid | 59c | 548.31$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…4514backed Team Liquid | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 51c | 506.12$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Liquid | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Team Liquid | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Liquid | 63c | 477.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.46 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Team Liquid | 55c | 473.69$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.58 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Team Liquid | 62c | 454.35$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.73 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed MOUZ | 38c | 439.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.4 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Team Liquid | 59c | 434.6$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.18 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Liquid | 6c | 430.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.52 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed MOUZ | 24c | 408.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Team Liquid | 74c | 402.44$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8287…059ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed MOUZ | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked MOUZ | 26c | 378.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…5ad4backed Team Liquid | 61c | 370$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 46c | 369.1$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.29 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0050…2eb8backed Team Liquid | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Liquid | 59c | 329.36$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.14 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Team Liquid | 64c | 323.21$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.97 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…864bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 276.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8d…cd2abacked Team Liquid | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked MOUZ | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Liquid | 59c | 269.49$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…356bbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Liquid | 58c | 249.22$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 246.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed MOUZ | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MOUZ | 33c | 242.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.03 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Team Liquid | 56c | 231.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed MOUZ | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed MOUZ | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Team Liquid | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb326…7075backed Team Liquid | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Liquid | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Liquid | 76c | 199.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Liquid | 50c | 195.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Team Liquid | 58c | 193.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 46c | 193.58$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.77 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Liquid | 53c | 190.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753e…6546backed MOUZ | 46c | 186.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Liquid | 56c | 177.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Liquid | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked MOUZ | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b85…f739backed Team Liquid | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Team Liquid | 60c | 157$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b0…de80backed MOUZ | 30c | 153.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1e…48c4backed MOUZ | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e06…5a9bbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed MOUZ | 43c | 139.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed MOUZ | 47c | 139.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked MOUZ | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…1df6backed MOUZ | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ (BO3)MOUZ won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.