Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd5458c69feacc80bab224c45039fb50b7630195ca71dc187b5c645f8df3570f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x458d…178fbacked Yes | 16c | 10,010$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 53c | 5,628$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,002.54 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 36c | 5,236$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.07 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…176bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 35c | 1,690$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.58 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 66c | 1,539$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.26 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 1,451$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.67 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 27c | 1,424$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.88 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 58c | 1,249$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.28 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 60c | 1,170$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 240 | 47.5%114 W · 126 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 24c | 980$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.8 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 907$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 42c | 677.85$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.78 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 39c | 626.3$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.94 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 73c | 517$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 55c | 465.45$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 43c | 463.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 17c | 400.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 27c | 362.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Yes | 69c | 348.21$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 17c | 215$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…a8eebacked Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 19c | 160$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Yes | 9c | 158.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 26c | 154.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 16c | 145.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c6…8effbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 18c | 124.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…db3abacked Yes | 58c | 104.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb620…5721backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 16c | 99.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 18c | 94.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…c23fbacked Yes | 27c | 88.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 34c | 87.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 87.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Yes | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 27c | 55.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 58c | 48.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 71c | 48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7b…cb86backed Yes | 73c | 47.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…9cf7backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf94…ee57backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…09fdbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f54…05e9backed Yes | 63c | 30.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…d803backed Yes | 73c | 17.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 59c | 17.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yes | 64c | 16.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.