Premier League · resolved market
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc23da160689e7759f04e69235401d9caa5a73030fcdfc46eb466ba8611b9b536
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f9e…46b5backed Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 9,843$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.04 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 5c | 8,802$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa589…176bbacked Yes | 9c | 8,688$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 9c | 6,802$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 3,051$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.08 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,030$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.41 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 10c | 2,972$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.23 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,490$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 9c | 1,131$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…8a62backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e8…df6ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 8c | 869.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 8c | 599.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…0043backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 10c | 477.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 9c | 466.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793e…c69bbacked Yes | 10c | 410$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 9c | 400.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…b054backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…20c5backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 8c | 283.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 270.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…44bdbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0860…d30fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 9c | 190.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6b…33d4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d9…eec0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a51…2a71backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?this page
- Will Burnley FC vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.