TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59d9…eec0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+334.8%+$84.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$115.5
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+117.4%+$113.94
Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$76.85
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$18.3
Will Bournemouth vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$86.4
Will Brighton vs. Tottenham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$73
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.56
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$187.5
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+35.1%+$57.2
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$53.1
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.99
Wild vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$58.5
Blues vs. Canucksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+72.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas A&M vs. Texasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$195.25
Florida State vs. Virginiabacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$105
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$23
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$615
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$133.76
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K August 25–31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$247
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+40.8%+$100.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$202.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.